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Apply 2022–23 annual employee NI for full-year category A directors - #2493

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Oct 21, 2026
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juaristi22 merged 3 commits into
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fix-721-director-ni-2022

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@juaristi22

@juaristi22 juaristi22 commented Oct 18, 2026 •

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Refs #721. This implements the 2022–23 annual employee Class 1 National Insurance schedule for full-year category A directors with one employment. The issue remains open for the remaining cases.

The model currently applies the ordinary employee schedule to these directors. The new is_full_year_category_a_director input defaults to false and selects the historical £11,908 primary threshold, £50,270 upper earnings limit, 12.73% main rate and 2.73% additional rate in model year 2022. For £30,000 of annual NI earnings, employee NI changes from £2,665.90 to £2,303.11. Monthly components allocate one twelfth of annual liability; they do not model interim payroll deductions. Existing liability gates and supplied-output overrides still apply. The existing Class 4 cap consumes employee primary NI, so directors with trading profits can also have an indirect Class 4 change.

HMRC’s 2022–23 historical table supplies the amounts and rates; HMRC’s directors guidance supplies annual-method qualifications. Employer NI, appointment-year prorating, category changes, multiple employments, other years and payroll timing remain outside this PR.

Validation: earlier implementation and follow-up evidence covered 159 distinct cases, with unchanged cases carried forward. That historical evidence used Core 3.32.27/microdf 1.2.1. After integration with main at 8b12bce, the focused NI selector passed 72 unique tests on Python 3.13/Core 3.33.2/microdf 1.5.11 in 45.39 seconds; these overlap earlier cases and are not added to the historical total. Independent captured-head CODE/POLICY review verified both requested documentation/reference fixes with no scoped findings or material gaps. Ruff, the trusted current-head fix-evidence check and changed-page HTML export passed. The full suite, private-data tests, combined #2490 tree and encoded parity remain unverified locally; hosted CI at 2026-10-19T18:04:25.909871+00:00 passed on 54b9f733f62dd68cf0a70fc1b57b1090f6039f92 (Lint, Test / Result, Fix evidence and documentation builds).

This shares two employee component files with #2490. A separate synthetic integration preserved that PR’s scale migration: 51 prior test passes remained qualified by unchanged production/test bytes, and the new Class 4 composition case passed on the follow-up integration tree. Coordinate merge order and preserve both changes. This is local compatibility evidence; the combined tree has not received an independent review or hosted CI.

Reproducer: policyengine_uk/tests/policy/baseline/gov/hmrc/national_insurance/class_1/ni_class_1_full_year_director_2022.yaml

Landing coordination

Landing plan: #2493, then #2452, then #2490, as requested in the #2490 review. Preserve this PR's director selector and employee contribution components when #2490 integrates its scale migration. Actual shared-component migrations, owner acceptance and fresh combined-tree checks remain conditions of #2490; documenting this order does not complete them.

axiom: TheAxiomFoundation/rulespec-uk#472 queued

The statutory schedule and status selection require a supported encoding/parity follow-up. No encoding or parity result is claimed.

@juaristi22 juaristi22 self-assigned this Oct 18, 2026

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Fine once the book page keeps its legal references and drops the PR-coordination note.

@juaristi22, the numbers match HMRC's 2022 to 2023 employer rates page. For directors, it gives a £11,908 annual primary threshold, a £50,270 UEL and category A employee rates of 12.73% and 2.73%. I hand-checked two cases. £30,000 gives (30,000 − 11,908) × 0.1273 = £2,303.11. At the UEL, 38,362 × 0.1273 = £4,883.48. The month formulas resolve in_effect correctly for all twelve months of model year 2022, because of the fiscal-year date shift: every month gives £191.93, which sums to £2,303.11. Model year 2023 falls back to the ordinary route.

  1. should: docs/book/programs/gov/hmrc/national-insurance-directors.md. The rewrite removes the statutory references the old page had: SI 2001/1004 reg 8 (the annual earnings period for directors), NIM12000, CA44 and SSCBA s.8. Reg 8 is the legal basis of the annual method, and nothing in the new parameters or variables cites it now. Please keep those references on the page, and add reg 8 to the employee_scale.yaml or is_full_year_category_a_director references.
  2. should: docs/book/programs/gov/hmrc/national-insurance-directors.md:84-88. The paragraph on landing order with #2490 is process information. It will be out of date as soon as either PR merges. Keep it in the PR body only.
  3. nit: ni_class_1_employee_primary.py:37 and ni_class_1_employee_additional.py index the scale by position (rates[1], thresholds[2]). That works for this three-band scale, but it breaks silently if a band is ever added. A short comment naming the bands, or named threshold parameters, would make it safer.
  4. nit: the parameter folder is year-specific (full_year_category_a_2022_23). HMRC's 2023 to 2024 page also gives directors a separate annual main rate, 11.5% against the ordinary 12% then 10%. If that year is added later, one directors/annual scale with dated values and an in_effect timeline would avoid a second near-copy of this folder. This does not block this PR.

What I checked

  • Read the full diff, the docs page and issue #721. Checked the rates and thresholds against HMRC's 2022 to 2023 and 2023 to 2024 employer rates pages.
  • policyengine-core test on ni_class_1_full_year_director_2022.yaml: 10 passed. pytest test_ni_full_year_director_2022.py: 15 passed. All of tests/policy/baseline/gov/hmrc/national_insurance: 152 passed.
  • Reverted the two employee component formulas. The new YAML file then fails 10 of 10.
  • Simulated by month for 2022 and 2023 with the flag set, to confirm the monthly allocation and the year gate.
  • ruff check and ruff format --check on the changed Python files: clean.
  • Hosted CI on this head: all green.
  • Not checked: the combined tree with #2490, or private-data runs.

🤖 Generated with Claude Code

@juaristi22
juaristi22 force-pushed the fix-721-director-ni-2022 branch from f686e04 to 54b9f73 Compare October 19, 2026 12:34
@juaristi22

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Restored the director page’s legal and HMRC references, added regulation 8(3) to the annual-scale references, and removed the PR landing-order note from the book page. The PR description retains the #2490 coordination qualification. Rates, dates, formulas and tests are unchanged; the changed page passed HTML export without executing model code.

After integration with main at 8b12bce, the focused NI selector passed 72 unique tests on Core 3.33.2/microdf 1.5.11. Independent captured-head code and policy review verified both requested fixes. Issue #721’s remaining cases, the #2490 integration/landing obligation and Axiom-needed follow-up remain open. Hosted CI and your current-head review are still pending.

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Aggregate impact on certified data: pass

Base 7726c1a176 against head 8eb505abd7, both on enhanced_frs_2024_25.h5 (policyengine-uk-data 1.58.1, sha256 056e80fd8e91), fiscal years 2025-26 to 2031-32. Each year is a full microsimulation run on each side.

Checks: 0 broken by this change, 1 failing on both sides, 0 fixed. Moves flagged for review: 0 (thresholds in report_spec.yaml; a flag does not fail the job).

Workflow run and full report

Notes

  • In the years a figure from fewer than 10 records is suppressed (spending.disabled_students_allowance), every total containing it, and the decile incomes, are rebuilt from their other components, so no published total includes it. Those totals are marked †. A change is withheld where the two sides leave out different figures and can't be lined up.

Moves flagged for review

None.

Spending by benefit and service

Measure 2025-26 2026-27 2027-28 2028-29 2029-30 2030-31 2031-32
Disabled Students' Allowance suppressed suppressed suppressed suppressed suppressed suppressed suppressed

Caseloads

Measure 2025-26 2026-27 2027-28 2028-29 2029-30 2030-31 2031-32
Disabled Students' Allowance suppressed suppressed suppressed suppressed suppressed suppressed suppressed

Household net income by decile

No household's net income changes in any year.

No change in any year: receipts by tax head; government balance, each component counted once; model totals; components the model counts twice; household income totals; population; poverty rates; people in poverty; inequality; mean household net income in each side's own deciles; standard reform costings (change in gov_balance); standard reforms: change in each reform's target.

Checks failing on both base and head (1)
  • VAT is never negative (sign:vat): 2025-26: 76 units below zero, a weighted £-54,797,972 in total; 2026-27: 76 units below zero, a weighted £-56,271,349 in total; 2027-28: 76 units below zero, a weighted £-57,609,146 in total
Counted-once check

Each of 84 components was raised by £1 per unit in 2026-27, and every head of its totals was read household by household: its own head must rise by exactly £1, no other tax head may move, no other benefit may rise, and the model's own total must move by what its heads moved. A head that breaks a rule is measured again twice: with every other head held at its baseline value, and with every other head held at its value after the first £1 while the component rises again. It fails where either still shows the response. 0 failed; 0 were skipped.

  • incapacity_benefit: pension_credit responds only through other heads in fewer than 10 households (other heads that moved there: carers_allowance; gov_spending; not a failure)
  • incapacity_benefit: pension_credit responds only through other heads in fewer than 10 households (other heads that moved there: carers_allowance; household_benefits; not a failure)
  • incapacity_benefit: universal_credit responds only through other heads in 72 households (other heads that moved there: carers_allowance, carer_support_payment; gov_spending; not a failure)
  • incapacity_benefit: universal_credit responds only through other heads in 72 households (other heads that moved there: carers_allowance, carer_support_payment; household_benefits; not a failure)
  • maternity_allowance: pension_credit responds only through other heads in fewer than 10 households (other heads that moved there: carers_allowance; gov_spending; not a failure)
  • maternity_allowance: pension_credit responds only through other heads in fewer than 10 households (other heads that moved there: carers_allowance; household_benefits; not a failure)
  • declared double count corporate_sdlt is still contained in expected_sdlt (coefficient 1.000; Corporate SDLT is counted twice in household and government tax totals #2159)
Provenance
Side Commit Runtime Environment hash Partition hash Time
base main 7726c1a176 uk 2.137.1 (files 8554ab6677bc), core 3.33.2, py 3.13.16 aarch64 d5d36741f03c 0d0426ee9e38 897.81s
head #2493 merged into main 8eb505abd7 uk 2.137.1 (files 74ee51f19496), core 3.33.2, py 3.13.16 aarch64 d5d36741f03c 0d0426ee9e38 909.45s

Dataset: hf://policyengine/policyengine-uk-data-private/enhanced_frs_2024_25.h5@2526edbbb687a3b54dbb11272e5389e4b62d2ac2, sha256 056e80fd8e9151d78f432a25cde863340baee81304c6216a37fb575ce8563784 (verified on both sides), policyengine-uk-data 1.58.1.

Receipts by tax head: head levels
Measure (head) 2025-26 2026-27 2027-28 2028-29 2029-30 2030-31 2031-32
Income tax £298.30bn £318.11bn £335.36bn £350.32bn £365.75bn £383.77bn £402.05bn
National Insurance (employee and self-employed) £52.58bn £54.94bn £56.75bn £58.48bn £60.51bn £62.45bn £64.90bn
National Insurance (employer) £152.64bn £159.18bn £164.14bn £168.73bn £175.57bn £181.08bn £188.22bn
Employer NI change borne by capital £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn
Employer NI change borne by consumers £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn
Capital gains tax £12.62bn £13.06bn £13.55bn £14.04bn £14.54bn £15.09bn £15.65bn
Student loan repayments £7.83bn £8.12bn £8.35bn £8.56bn £8.79bn £9.04bn £9.38bn
VAT £253.71bn £260.53bn £266.72bn £273.14bn £279.83bn £286.71bn £293.71bn
Change in VAT from its baseline £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn
VAT on private school fees £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn
Fuel duties £24.53bn £24.64bn £26.64bn £26.69bn £26.42bn £25.76bn £26.35bn
Alcohol duties £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn
Tobacco duties £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn
Vehicle excise duties £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn
TV licence fee £4.28bn £4.43bn £4.44bn £4.46bn £4.49bn £4.51bn £4.53bn
Council tax £49.56bn £52.45bn £55.78bn £59.39bn £62.98bn £66.74bn £70.70bn
High value council tax surcharge £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.48bn £0.50bn £0.51bn £0.52bn
Northern Ireland domestic rates £0.55bn £0.58bn £0.61bn £0.63bn £0.67bn £0.70bn £0.73bn
Business rates £31.73bn £31.73bn £31.73bn £31.73bn £31.73bn £31.73bn £31.73bn
Stamp duty land tax (own purchases, and corporate until the £10.26bn £10.84bn £11.32bn £11.80bn £12.29bn £12.83bn £13.42bn
Land transaction tax (Wales) £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.01bn £0.01bn
Land and buildings transaction tax (Scotland) £0.01bn £0.02bn £0.02bn £0.02bn £0.02bn £0.02bn £0.02bn
Unspecified tax change borne by capital £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn
Unspecified tax change borne by consumers £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn
Wealth tax £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn
Wealth tax excluding the main residence £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn
Land value tax £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn
Carbon tax £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn
Spending by benefit and service: head levels
Measure (head) 2025-26 2026-27 2027-28 2028-29 2029-30 2030-31 2031-32
State Pension £122.50bn £127.12bn £128.28bn £130.21bn £134.05bn £138.02bn £142.08bn
Pension Credit £6.68bn £7.06bn £7.04bn £7.11bn £7.23bn £7.37bn £7.46bn
Winter Fuel Payment £1.70bn £1.68bn £1.59bn £1.57bn £1.57bn £1.55bn £1.52bn
Pension Age Winter Heating Payment (Scotland) £0.19bn £0.20bn £0.20bn £0.21bn £0.21bn £0.22bn £0.22bn
Universal Credit £79.17bn £83.50bn £85.32bn £87.08bn £88.02bn £89.45bn £90.80bn
Housing Benefit £8.60bn £8.93bn £9.20bn £9.34bn £9.62bn £9.88bn £10.17bn
Council Tax Reduction £1.99bn £2.03bn £2.08bn £2.13bn £2.18bn £2.24bn £2.29bn
Employment and Support Allowance (income-related) £2.12bn £2.18bn £2.23bn £2.28bn £2.33bn £2.39bn £2.45bn
Employment and Support Allowance (contribution-based) £5.22bn £5.36bn £5.49bn £5.62bn £5.76bn £5.90bn £6.04bn
Jobseeker's Allowance (income-based) £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn
Jobseeker's Allowance (contribution-based) £0.29bn £0.30bn £0.30bn £0.31bn £0.32bn £0.33bn £0.33bn
Income Support £0.12bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn
Working Tax Credit £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn
Child Tax Credit £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn
Incapacity Benefit £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn
Personal Independence Payment £27.05bn £28.19bn £28.94bn £29.64bn £30.37bn £31.11bn £31.87bn
Disability Living Allowance £7.52bn £7.83bn £8.04bn £8.24bn £8.44bn £8.65bn £8.86bn
Attendance Allowance £8.71bn £9.08bn £9.32bn £9.55bn £9.78bn £10.02bn £10.26bn
Carer's Allowance £4.50bn £4.69bn £4.81bn £4.93bn £5.05bn £5.17bn £5.29bn
Carer Support Payment (Scotland) £0.35bn £0.37bn £0.38bn £0.39bn £0.40bn £0.41bn £0.41bn
Carer's Allowance Supplement (Scotland) £0.00bn £0.05bn £0.05bn £0.05bn £0.05bn £0.05bn £0.05bn
Severe Disablement Allowance £0.03bn £0.03bn £0.03bn £0.03bn £0.03bn £0.03bn £0.03bn
Industrial Injuries Disablement Benefit £0.51bn £0.52bn £0.53bn £0.54bn £0.56bn £0.57bn £0.59bn
Armed Forces Compensation Scheme £0.61bn £0.62bn £0.64bn £0.65bn £0.67bn £0.69bn £0.70bn
War Widow's or Widower's Pension £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn
Child Benefit £16.23bn £16.91bn £17.32bn £17.73bn £18.16bn £18.60bn £19.04bn
Scottish Child Payment £0.50bn £0.52bn £0.53bn £0.55bn £0.56bn £0.57bn £0.58bn
Two Child Limit Payment (Scotland, counterfactual) £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn
Healthy Start vouchers £0.05bn £0.05bn £0.05bn £0.05bn £0.05bn £0.05bn £0.05bn
Maternity Allowance £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn
Statutory Maternity Pay £3.32bn £3.41bn £3.49bn £3.57bn £3.66bn £3.75bn £3.84bn
Statutory Paternity Pay £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn
Statutory Sick Pay £1.13bn £1.16bn £1.19bn £1.22bn £1.25bn £1.28bn £1.31bn
Sure Start Maternity Grant £0.01bn £0.01bn £0.01bn £0.01bn £0.01bn £0.01bn £0.01bn
Bereavement Support Payment £0.67bn £0.69bn £0.70bn £0.72bn £0.74bn £0.76bn £0.78bn
Tax-Free Childcare £0.55bn £0.56bn £0.57bn £0.58bn £0.60bn £0.61bn £0.59bn
Extended childcare entitlement £2.66bn £3.14bn £3.23bn £3.30bn £3.38bn £3.47bn £3.55bn
Universal childcare entitlement £3.32bn £3.59bn £3.69bn £3.78bn £3.88bn £3.99bn £4.08bn
Targeted childcare entitlement £0.57bn £0.60bn £0.62bn £0.63bn £0.65bn £0.66bn £0.67bn
Care to Learn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn
Childcare Grant £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn
Parents' Learning Allowance £0.20bn £0.20bn £0.20bn £0.20bn £0.20bn £0.20bn £0.20bn
Adult Dependants' Grant £0.06bn £0.06bn £0.04bn £0.04bn £0.04bn £0.04bn £0.04bn
Travel Grant £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn
Disabled Students' Allowance suppressed suppressed suppressed suppressed suppressed suppressed suppressed
16 to 19 Bursary Fund £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn
NHS spending £204.68bn £205.46bn £206.22bn £207.04bn £207.96bn £208.89bn £209.79bn
State education spending £0.02bn £0.02bn £0.02bn £0.02bn £0.02bn £0.02bn £0.02bn
Transport subsidy spending £25.15bn £25.25bn £25.34bn £25.44bn £25.55bn £25.67bn £25.78bn
Cost-of-living support payment £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn
Energy Bills Rebate £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn
Energy Price Guarantee subsidy £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn
Basic income £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn
Disability basic income £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn
Other public spending budget change £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn
Caseloads: head levels
Measure (head) 2025-26 2026-27 2027-28 2028-29 2029-30 2030-31 2031-32
State Pension 11,308k 11,208k 10,906k 10,812k 10,860k 10,908k 10,955k
Pension Credit 1,491k 1,489k 1,477k 1,455k 1,457k 1,454k 1,451k
Winter Fuel Payment 7,091k 7,008k 6,593k 6,509k 6,491k 6,377k 6,242k
Pension Age Winter Heating Payment (Scotland) 806k 807k 807k 805k 809k 812k 816k
Universal Credit 6,372k 6,379k 6,409k 6,420k 6,395k 6,387k 6,371k
Housing Benefit 1,254k 1,253k 1,254k 1,240k 1,245k 1,247k 1,249k
Council Tax Reduction 3,187k 3,212k 3,225k 3,247k 3,263k 3,282k 3,296k
Employment and Support Allowance (income-related) 187k 188k 188k 189k 190k 190k 191k
Employment and Support Allowance (contribution-based) 722k 724k 727k 730k 733k 737k 740k
Jobseeker's Allowance (income-based) 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k
Jobseeker's Allowance (contribution-based) 67k 67k 68k 68k 68k 69k 69k
Income Support 25k 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k
Working Tax Credit 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k
Child Tax Credit 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k
Incapacity Benefit 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k
Personal Independence Payment 3,581k 3,595k 3,608k 3,623k 3,639k 3,655k 3,671k
Disability Living Allowance 1,296k 1,301k 1,306k 1,311k 1,317k 1,323k 1,329k
Attendance Allowance 1,701k 1,708k 1,714k 1,721k 1,729k 1,736k 1,744k
Carer's Allowance 1,038k 1,042k 1,046k 1,050k 1,055k 1,059k 1,064k
Carer Support Payment (Scotland) 81k 82k 82k 82k 83k 83k 83k
Carer's Allowance Supplement (Scotland) 0k 82k 82k 82k 83k 83k 83k
Severe Disablement Allowance 4k 4k 4k 4k 4k 4k 4k
Industrial Injuries Disablement Benefit 137k 138k 139k 139k 140k 140k 141k
Armed Forces Compensation Scheme 94k 94k 94k 95k 95k 95k 96k
War Widow's or Widower's Pension 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k
Child Benefit 8,136k 8,165k 8,185k 8,215k 8,249k 8,282k 8,314k
Scottish Child Payment 352k 354k 355k 356k 357k 358k 357k
Two Child Limit Payment (Scotland, counterfactual) 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k
Healthy Start vouchers 200k 201k 202k 203k 204k 204k 205k
Maternity Allowance 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k
Statutory Maternity Pay 334k 335k 336k 338k 339k 341k 342k
Statutory Paternity Pay 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k
Statutory Sick Pay 182k 183k 183k 184k 185k 186k 186k
Sure Start Maternity Grant 26k 26k 26k 27k 27k 27k 27k
Bereavement Support Payment 98k 98k 99k 99k 100k 100k 101k
Tax-Free Childcare 1,017k 1,028k 1,028k 1,033k 1,034k 1,038k 1,023k
Extended childcare entitlement 665k 671k 675k 677k 682k 686k 687k
Universal childcare entitlement 986k 989k 992k 997k 1,002k 1,013k 1,015k
Targeted childcare entitlement 119k 120k 120k 121k 121k 122k 121k
Care to Learn 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k
Childcare Grant 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k
Parents' Learning Allowance 98k 99k 99k 100k 100k 100k 101k
Adult Dependants' Grant 18k 18k 12k 13k 13k 13k 13k
Travel Grant 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k
Disabled Students' Allowance suppressed suppressed suppressed suppressed suppressed suppressed suppressed
16 to 19 Bursary Fund 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k
Cost-of-living support payment 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k
Energy Bills Rebate 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k
Energy Price Guarantee subsidy 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k
Basic income 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k
Disability basic income 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k
Government balance, each component counted once: head levels
Measure (head) 2025-26 2026-27 2027-28 2028-29 2029-30 2030-31 2031-32
Government receipts, each component once £898.60bn £938.62bn £975.41bn £1,008.49bn £1,044.08bn £1,080.93bn £1,121.92bn
Government spending £537.00bn † £551.36bn † £557.71bn † £564.79bn † £573.36bn † £582.62bn † £591.80bn †
Government balance, each receipt once £361.60bn † £387.26bn † £417.70bn † £443.70bn † £470.73bn † £498.30bn † £530.12bn †
Benefits in household_benefits but not in gov_spending £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn
Model totals: head levels
Measure (head) 2025-26 2026-27 2027-28 2028-29 2029-30 2030-31 2031-32
gov_tax £901.73bn £941.75bn £978.54bn £1,011.62bn £1,047.21bn £1,084.06bn £1,125.05bn
household_tax £495.38bn £522.04bn £547.68bn £569.74bn £591.81bn £616.26bn £643.12bn
pre_budget_change_household_tax £487.56bn £513.92bn £539.33bn £560.70bn £582.53bn £606.72bn £633.22bn
gov_spending £537.00bn † £551.36bn † £557.71bn † £564.79bn † £573.36bn † £582.62bn † £591.80bn †
household_benefits £537.00bn † £551.36bn † £557.71bn † £564.79bn † £573.36bn † £582.62bn † £591.80bn †
gov_balance £364.73bn † £390.39bn † £420.83bn † £446.83bn † £473.86bn † £501.43bn † £533.25bn †
Components the model counts twice: head levels
Measure (head) 2025-26 2026-27 2027-28 2028-29 2029-30 2030-31 2031-32
corporate_sdlt, counted again inside expected_sdlt £3.13bn £3.13bn £3.13bn £3.13bn £3.13bn £3.13bn £3.13bn
Household income totals: head levels
Measure (head) 2025-26 2026-27 2027-28 2028-29 2029-30 2030-31 2031-32
Household market income £1,657.06bn £1,719.25bn £1,771.68bn £1,821.99bn £1,887.41bn £1,945.59bn £2,017.37bn
Household net income £1,659.41bn † £1,707.82bn † £1,739.83bn † £1,774.09bn † £1,810.35bn † £1,852.01bn † £1,903.61bn †
Household net income (HBAI definition) £1,468.17bn £1,514.88bn £1,547.36bn £1,580.55bn £1,614.82bn £1,654.01bn £1,704.49bn
Population: head levels
Measure (head) 2025-26 2026-27 2027-28 2028-29 2029-30 2030-31 2031-32
People 69,514k 69,778k 70,036k 70,316k 70,626k 70,944k 71,249k
Benefit units 35,247k 35,381k 35,512k 35,654k 35,811k 35,972k 36,127k
Households 31,167k 31,285k 31,401k 31,526k 31,665k 31,808k 31,944k
Poverty rates: head levels
Measure (head) 2025-26 2026-27 2027-28 2028-29 2029-30 2030-31 2031-32
Absolute poverty, before housing costs: everyone 15.9% 14.9% 15.5% 15.6% 15.7% 15.8% 15.7%
Absolute poverty, before housing costs: children 23.7% 20.9% 21.6% 21.4% 21.6% 21.8% 21.7%
Absolute poverty, before housing costs: working-age adults 13.8% 13.4% 14.0% 14.1% 14.2% 14.3% 14.3%
Absolute poverty, before housing costs: pensioners 13.6% 13.1% 13.2% 13.4% 13.5% 13.6% 13.5%
Absolute poverty, after housing costs: everyone 20.9% 20.4% 21.0% 21.2% 21.4% 21.7% 21.8%
Absolute poverty, after housing costs: children 31.8% 30.0% 30.7% 31.0% 31.2% 31.6% 31.8%
Absolute poverty, after housing costs: working-age adults 19.4% 19.2% 20.0% 20.2% 20.5% 20.7% 20.8%
Absolute poverty, after housing costs: pensioners 12.5% 12.2% 12.0% 12.2% 12.2% 12.3% 12.3%
Relative poverty, before housing costs: everyone 17.0% 16.4% 16.5% 16.6% 16.8% 16.8% 16.9%
Relative poverty, before housing costs: children 25.7% 23.5% 23.3% 23.2% 23.4% 23.5% 23.7%
Relative poverty, before housing costs: working-age adults 14.5% 14.4% 14.7% 14.8% 15.1% 15.1% 15.2%
Relative poverty, before housing costs: pensioners 14.8% 14.9% 14.4% 14.4% 14.3% 14.4% 14.6%
Relative poverty, after housing costs: everyone 21.5% 21.1% 21.3% 21.4% 21.5% 21.6% 21.8%
Relative poverty, after housing costs: children 32.6% 31.3% 31.1% 31.1% 31.4% 31.4% 31.8%
Relative poverty, after housing costs: working-age adults 19.8% 19.8% 20.2% 20.3% 20.5% 20.7% 20.8%
Relative poverty, after housing costs: pensioners 13.3% 12.8% 12.6% 12.7% 12.3% 12.2% 12.3%
People in poverty: head levels
Measure (head) 2025-26 2026-27 2027-28 2028-29 2029-30 2030-31 2031-32
Absolute poverty, before housing costs: everyone 11,050k 10,426k 10,847k 10,945k 11,075k 11,205k 11,215k
Absolute poverty, before housing costs: children 3,559k 3,140k 3,260k 3,252k 3,297k 3,333k 3,333k
Absolute poverty, before housing costs: working-age adults 5,864k 5,737k 6,070k 6,164k 6,236k 6,314k 6,319k
Absolute poverty, before housing costs: pensioners 1,627k 1,549k 1,517k 1,528k 1,542k 1,558k 1,563k
Absolute poverty, after housing costs: everyone 14,536k 14,210k 14,688k 14,922k 15,145k 15,380k 15,517k
Absolute poverty, after housing costs: children 4,765k 4,513k 4,641k 4,697k 4,753k 4,831k 4,894k
Absolute poverty, after housing costs: working-age adults 8,275k 8,251k 8,665k 8,836k 8,991k 9,138k 9,200k
Absolute poverty, after housing costs: pensioners 1,496k 1,445k 1,382k 1,389k 1,401k 1,411k 1,423k
Relative poverty, before housing costs: everyone 11,807k 11,456k 11,570k 11,652k 11,832k 11,919k 12,065k
Relative poverty, before housing costs: children 3,863k 3,538k 3,520k 3,528k 3,567k 3,592k 3,642k
Relative poverty, before housing costs: working-age adults 6,178k 6,160k 6,389k 6,483k 6,623k 6,674k 6,741k
Relative poverty, before housing costs: pensioners 1,767k 1,758k 1,661k 1,642k 1,642k 1,653k 1,682k
Relative poverty, after housing costs: everyone 14,918k 14,717k 14,897k 15,056k 15,215k 15,345k 15,518k
Relative poverty, after housing costs: children 4,886k 4,714k 4,695k 4,721k 4,789k 4,814k 4,894k
Relative poverty, after housing costs: working-age adults 8,442k 8,497k 8,756k 8,884k 9,018k 9,123k 9,201k
Relative poverty, after housing costs: pensioners 1,590k 1,507k 1,446k 1,451k 1,408k 1,408k 1,423k
Inequality: head levels
Measure (head) 2025-26 2026-27 2027-28 2028-29 2029-30 2030-31 2031-32
Gini coefficient, equivalised HBAI income before housing costs 0.3076 0.3053 0.3067 0.3074 0.3079 0.3086 0.3096
Mean household net income in each side's own deciles: head levels
Measure (head) 2025-26 2026-27 2027-28 2028-29 2029-30 2030-31 2031-32
Decile 1: mean household_net_income per household £17,703 † £17,992 † £17,936 † £18,011 † £18,318 † £18,513 † £18,674 †
Decile 2: mean household_net_income per household £28,348 † £29,017 † £28,655 † £28,970 † £29,308 † £29,678 † £30,275 †
Decile 3: mean household_net_income per household £34,599 † £35,849 † £36,522 † £37,006 † £37,361 † £38,078 † £38,727 †
Decile 4: mean household_net_income per household £39,341 † £40,988 † £41,881 † £42,614 † £43,169 † £43,763 † £44,893 †
Decile 5: mean household_net_income per household £44,542 † £46,026 † £46,958 † £47,586 † £48,343 † £49,291 † £49,916 †
Decile 6: mean household_net_income per household £48,357 † £49,456 † £50,387 † £51,215 † £52,336 † £53,141 † £54,599 †
Decile 7: mean household_net_income per household £56,416 † £57,582 † £58,485 † £59,450 † £60,073 † £61,473 † £63,079 †
Decile 8: mean household_net_income per household £69,296 † £70,502 † £71,718 † £73,044 † £74,365 † £75,837 † £77,619 †
Decile 9: mean household_net_income per household £79,710 † £82,067 † £83,315 † £84,464 † £86,264 † £87,817 † £90,044 †
Decile 10: mean household_net_income per household £117,836 † £120,656 † £122,579 † £124,731 † £127,216 † £129,852 † £132,997 †
Standard reform costings (change in gov_balance): head levels
Measure (head) 2025-26 2026-27 2027-28 2028-29 2029-30 2030-31 2031-32
Raise basic rate by 1pp £6.22bn £6.50bn £6.71bn £6.90bn £7.11bn £7.35bn £7.62bn
Raise higher rate by 1pp £3.54bn £3.82bn £4.05bn £4.27bn £4.49bn £4.76bn £4.96bn
Raise personal allowance by ~800GBP/year £-3.84bn £-3.98bn £-4.06bn £-4.11bn £-4.20bn £-4.32bn £-2.04bn
Raise child benefit by 25GBP/week per additional child £-2.00bn £-1.76bn £-1.64bn £-1.54bn £-1.44bn £-1.34bn £-1.24bn
Reduce Universal Credit taper rate to 20% £-20.54bn £-21.10bn £-21.45bn £-21.88bn £-21.96bn £-22.33bn £-22.81bn
Raise Class 1 main employee NICs rate to 10% £11.06bn £11.51bn £11.83bn £12.14bn £12.46bn £12.80bn £13.27bn
Raise VAT standard rate by 2pp £25.01bn £25.68bn £26.29bn £26.92bn £27.58bn £28.26bn £28.95bn
Raise additional rate by 3pp £2.83bn £3.07bn £3.26bn £3.46bn £3.66bn £3.89bn £4.21bn
Raise the Universal Credit standard allowance by 10% £-3.04bn £-3.17bn £-3.25bn £-3.32bn £-3.37bn £-3.43bn £-3.47bn
Raise the State Pension by 10% £-8.93bn £-9.14bn £-9.06bn £-9.12bn £-9.31bn £-9.55bn £-9.82bn
Standard reforms: change in each reform's target: head levels
Measure (head) 2025-26 2026-27 2027-28 2028-29 2029-30 2030-31 2031-32
Raise basic rate by 1pp: change in income_tax £6.36bn £6.65bn £6.87bn £7.07bn £7.29bn £7.53bn £7.81bn
Raise higher rate by 1pp: change in income_tax £3.54bn £3.83bn £4.06bn £4.28bn £4.50bn £4.77bn £4.97bn
Raise personal allowance by ~800GBP/year: change in income_tax £-3.97bn £-4.12bn £-4.22bn £-4.27bn £-4.36bn £-4.48bn £-1.79bn
Raise child benefit by 25GBP/week per additional child: change in child_benefit £2.34bn £2.15bn £2.03bn £1.92bn £1.82bn £1.71bn £1.59bn
Reduce Universal Credit taper rate to 20%: change in universal_credit £20.53bn £21.09bn £21.44bn £21.87bn £21.95bn £22.32bn £22.80bn
Raise Class 1 main employee NICs rate to 10%: change in national_insurance £11.33bn £11.79bn £12.13bn £12.44bn £12.77bn £13.12bn £13.61bn
Raise VAT standard rate by 2pp: change in vat £25.01bn £25.68bn £26.29bn £26.92bn £27.58bn £28.26bn £28.95bn
Raise additional rate by 3pp: change in income_tax £2.83bn £3.07bn £3.26bn £3.46bn £3.66bn £3.89bn £4.21bn
Raise the Universal Credit standard allowance by 10%: change in universal_credit £3.04bn £3.17bn £3.25bn £3.32bn £3.38bn £3.43bn £3.48bn
Raise the State Pension by 10%: change in state_pension £12.25bn £12.71bn £12.83bn £13.02bn £13.41bn £13.80bn £14.21bn

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@juaristi22 round 2, at 54b9f733f. The branch was rebased onto 8b12bce. The two earlier commits carry no changes (git range-diff shows them as identical), so I reviewed the new commit against round 1.

Verdict: both round-1 shoulds are fixed and the code is unchanged. One process point is left: the axiom: line. I missed it in round 1, sorry.

Round-1 points

  1. should: legal references on the book page: fixed. The page cites SI 2001/1004 reg 8(3) again, and the References section has reg 8, SSCBA s.8, NIM12000 and CA44 back. employee_scale.yaml now cites reg 8(3) as well. I read reg 8(3) on legislation.gov.uk. It makes the earnings period the year for anyone who is a director at the start of that year, which is the case this PR covers. All four links resolve.
  2. should: landing-order note on the book page: fixed. The note is gone from the page and now sits only in the PR body.
  3. nit: positional indexing (rates[1], thresholds[2]): not changed. Still optional.
  4. nit: year-specific folder: not changed. Still optional, and fine to leave for whoever adds 2023 to 2024.

New findings

  1. should: PR body Axiom: needed. PolicyEngine/.github CONTRIBUTING.md ("Mirror policy changes in Axiom") keeps axiom: needed for external contributors. This PR changes NI liability, so as a maintainer you need one of encoded-correct, encoded, queued (a dispatch-ready rulespec-uk issue labelled pe-parity) or n/a. I found no rulespec-uk issue for reg 8 or the 2022 to 2023 director schedule. rulespec-uk has no module for reg 8 either (uk/regulations/uksi/2001/1004/ holds only regs 10 and 100), so encoded-correct is not open to you. queued would need a new issue, unless the encoder is free and you can encode it alongside. The Fix evidence check accepts needed, which is why CI didn't catch it. No code change is needed. With that line updated, this is ready to approve.
  2. nit: stale PR body. The body still says hosted CI "remains to be checked". All 16 checks now pass on this head.

Landing order

This still fits #2493, then #2452, then #2490:

  • It merges cleanly with current main (410bf54d7) and with #2452 (eeaf911cc). They share no files.
  • It conflicts with #2490 (e889563e8) in ni_class_1_employee_primary.py and ni_class_1_employee_additional.py, as the body says. Since #2490 lands last, that PR resolves the conflict and keeps the director branch.
  • Main has moved since 8b12bce (#2184, #2491, #2496 and others). None of those touch NI, and the new parameter-description test passes on the merged tree.

What I checked

  • Read the fix commit, your reply, the updated page and the PR body.
  • Fresh worktree and uv venv at the head. policyengine-core test tests/policy/baseline/gov/hmrc/national_insurance: 152 passed. pytest test_ni_full_year_director_2022.py: 15 passed. ruff check and ruff format --check on the changed Python: clean.
  • On a local merge of this head into current main: the same NI tests pass (152), and test_parameter_descriptions.py plus the director pytest give 39 passed.
  • git merge-tree against main, #2452 and #2490, as above.
  • CI at the head: all 16 checks pass. The aggregate-impact report passes, as expected for an input that defaults to false.
  • Not checked: the combined tree with #2490, or private data.

🤖 Generated with Claude Code

@juaristi22

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Addressed the Axiom process request: rulespec-uk#472 is OPEN with pe-parity and records the full-year 2022–23 category A director primary-NI cases, sources and corpus prerequisites. The PR body links that queued ticket and corrects the stale CI sentence. No encoding or parity result is claimed.

Current-head Lint, Test / Result, Fix evidence and documentation checks passed on 54b9f733f62dd68cf0a70fc1b57b1090f6039f92. Source code, the documented scope and the #2493 → #2452 → #2490 landing order are unchanged.

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@juaristi22 round 3, at 54b9f733f (no code change since round 2; the body was edited).

Verdict: approve. The axiom: line now points at a dispatch-ready queued issue, and the stale CI sentence is fixed. Two small nits on rulespec-uk#472, neither blocking.

Round-2 points

  1. should, axiom: line: fixed. The body reads axiom: TheAxiomFoundation/rulespec-uk#472 queued, the same format as merged #2458, and Fix evidence passes. #472 is open with pe-parity, and has the module paths and corpus selectors, the required output, companion cases from HMRC's 2022 to 2023 table, and the blocker (no approved billed encoder run). I checked the quoted law against legislation.gov.uk: SI 2001/1004 reg 8(3), NICA 2022 s.4, HSCL (Repeal) Act 2022 Sch para 5 and reg 11(2A)(b) at 2022-07-06 all match word for word.
  2. nit, stale CI sentence in the body: fixed.
  3. nit, positional indexing: unchanged, still optional.
  4. nit, year-specific folder: unchanged, still optional.

New findings

  1. nit, #472 companion arithmetic. The table gives values with no working. I re-derived all nine rows and they hold, e.g. £30,000: (30,000 − 11,908) × 12.73% = 2,303.1116; £60,000: 38,362 × 12.73% + (60,000 − 50,270) × 2.73% = 4,883.4826 + 265.629 = 5,149.1116. One worked line in the issue would let the encoder check them quickly.
  2. nit, leftover draft wording in #472. "This draft covers", "Proposed label", "A fresh duplicate/activity guard is still required immediately before creating the ticket" and "Keep the Axiom-needed follow-up open" read as pre-filing notes and predate the switch to queued. Worth tidying when you next touch the issue.

Landing order

#2493, then #2452, then #2490 still holds:

  • Merges cleanly with current main (47642d1ee) and with #2452 (eeaf911cc).
  • Same two conflicts with #2490 (e889563e8) in ni_class_1_employee_primary.py and ni_class_1_employee_additional.py, which #2490 resolves as it lands last.
  • Nothing merged to main since 8b12bce touches national_insurance/class_1.

What I checked

  • Head unchanged since round 2, so the round-2 test results (152 NI YAML tests, 15 director pytest cases) still apply.
  • Read #472 in full and fetched each cited provision from legislation.gov.uk.
  • git merge-tree against main, #2452 and #2490, as above.
  • CI at the head: all 16 checks pass, including Fix evidence.

🤖 Generated with Claude Code

@juaristi22
juaristi22 added this pull request to the merge queue Oct 20, 2026
Merged via the queue into main with commit f669da0 Oct 21, 2026
18 of 19 checks passed
@juaristi22
juaristi22 deleted the fix-721-director-ni-2022 branch October 21, 2026 01:00
MaxGhenis added a commit that referenced this pull request Oct 21, 2026
…ment-charge

No conflicts. programs.yaml auto-merged: main's registry fixes (#2443)
and this branch's notes on income tax, the Winter Fuel Payment and PAWHP
touch different entries. #2493's 2022 full-year director NI and #2506's
aggregate-impact runtime identity read nothing this branch changes; the
director tests read income_tax only in 2022, before the charge.

Main: 6990350

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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