time-series-validation

Modélisation de la mortalité et tarification d’une rente temporaire : Lee-Carter, APC, CBD, validation temporelle et VAP.

Actuarial study of water-supply interruptions, business losses, model validation and conditional provisions in Tunisia.

Five regressors on 28 years of Kanto flood records, validated time-aware. Tree ensembles beat the DNN in every window.

Can an ML model beat bookmaker odds? A rigorously validated 'no' — 65,900 ATP matches, XGBoost, chronological validation, 4 independent statistical tests.

Leakage-aware football predictive analytics project with web-scraped data, temporal validation, model evaluation, and a Streamlit historical prediction explorer.

End-to-end ML project for bank term-deposit subscription prediction with temporal validation, leakage prevention, failure analysis, and model interpretation.

Root-cause attribution for SECOM lot failures: 590 signals down to a 3-signal shortlist, one confirmed

Temporal validation case study: 6 regression models achieve R²≈0.99 via cross-validation but collapse to R²=0.34 on a real 2020-2023 holdout — investigating why, including a leakage ablation and a failed extrapolation fix

Machine Learning project that predicts Olympic medal counts using Linear Regression based on number of athletes and previous Olympic performance.

Reproducible NCAA basketball prediction research with leakage-safe ETL/features, statistical + ML benchmarking, robustness analysis, locked holdouts, and a 2026 thesis.

Predicting flight arrival delay at scheduled departure time, on 327,346 real flights. Point-in-time features, temporal validation, calibrated probabilities, cost-based threshold, FastAPI.

Leakage-safe NCAA tournament forecasting with advanced team-strength features, season-based validation, probability calibration, explainability, and reproducible ML engineering.