Record AV-EXP-001 shadow calibration

[sneakocom]

Summary

• records AV-EXP-001 as the distinct Affected Verification experiment identity
• binds the exact Zustand target, preregistration, result, analysis, and evidence identities
• promotes Affected Verification only to VERIFIED while retaining OBSERVE/SHADOW trust
• preserves the authoritative 21-repository set and regenerates program status

Bounded result

Both AV arms selected 8/8 oracle-relevant checks in the frozen ten-scenario corpus. The native tests-only arm selected 6/8 and missed relevant lint and typecheck checks. This is one-repository calibration evidence, not general safety or bounded trust.

Verification

• python3 tools/validate_program.py
• python3 tools/render_program_status.py --check
• python3 -m unittest discover -s tests -v (90 passed)
• actionlint
• gitleaks detect --no-git --source . --redact=100