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mujtababhutto/README.md

Hi, I'm Mujtaba 👋

🚀 About Me

I'm an investment professional based in Frankfurt, with experience across sovereign reserve management, fixed income, insurance portfolios and private markets.

Before moving to Germany, I worked in International Markets & Investments at the State Bank of Pakistan, managing institutional portfolios through the pandemic recovery, the global inflation shock and the monetary-tightening cycle that followed. That experience drew me towards more systematic investment analysis and eventually to Frankfurt School’s Master of Finance in Capital Markets. I later worked on investment analytics and private-market portfolios at Allianz Investment Management.

I’m particularly interested in the point where markets, investment judgement and technology meet—and whether an idea remains useful when it encounters real data, changing regimes and imperfect information.

💡 What I Do

  • Build and test models for portfolio construction, asset allocation and investment risk
  • Analyse fixed income, credit, macro regimes and private markets
  • Apply Python, machine learning and data analysis to practical investment questions
  • Test whether models remain useful out of sample and across changing market conditions
  • Turn technical findings into clear, decision-focused investment analysis

🛠️ Tech Stack

Languages & Core Technologies
Python · SQL · R · Stata · VBA

Data Science & ML
pandas · NumPy · scikit-learn · statsmodels · NLP · FinBERT · Jupyter

Data Engineering & Analytics
Power BI · Power Query · DAX · Excel · Tableau

Tools & Deployment
Git · GitHub · GitHub Pages · VS Code

Investment Data & Platforms
Bloomberg · Refinitiv Eikon · S&P Capital IQ · Compustat · eFront · MSCI ESG Manager

Finance & Investment
Fixed Income · Rates & FX · Asset Allocation · Portfolio Construction · Credit Risk · VaR · Stress Testing · Monte Carlo Simulation · Private Markets · ESG Analysis

🏆 Featured Projects

📈 Equity-Implied Signals in Corporate Bond Allocation

Python Econometrics Forecasting Portfolio Construction

Tests whether information embedded in equity markets can improve tactical allocation between high-yield and investment-grade corporate bonds. The research uses recursive out-of-sample forecasts, portfolio tests and robustness checks to distinguish plausible relationships from genuinely useful signals.

Repository · Article

🧭 Regime-Aware Fixed-Income Allocation

Python Asset Allocation Fixed Income Risk Management

Translates policy, macroeconomic and market-stress indicators into four market regimes and corresponding portfolio allocations. The framework is designed to participate in supportive markets while becoming more defensive as risk rises.

Repository · Website

⚙️ Regime-Switching CPDO Risk Model

Python Credit Risk Monte Carlo Stress Testing

Simulates a CPDO using regime-dependent credit spreads, jump diffusion and dynamic leverage. The analysis also examines how pre-crisis rating assumptions could materially understate the product’s default risk.

Repository · Website

🏦 Private Pension Plan Financial Case

Python Portfolio Optimisation Retirement Planning Monte Carlo

Builds an investable retirement plan by combining German statutory pension projections with an ETF portfolio, a dynamic glide path, tax considerations, Monte Carlo simulation and adverse-market stress tests.

Repository · Website

🐦 Financial Tweet Sentiment Classification

Python NLP Machine Learning FinBERT

Compares traditional TF-IDF classifiers with FinBERT embeddings for identifying bearish and bullish financial tweets, including how decision thresholds change when missing negative information is particularly costly.

Repository · Article

🔭 What I'm Working On

  • 🤖 Exploring how machine learning can improve financial forecasting and investment research
  • 📊 Building more intuitive tools for portfolio analysis and data visualisation
  • 🌍 Learning more about private markets, sustainable investing and changing institutional portfolios
  • 📚 Deepening my work in quantitative finance, fixed income and risk modelling

🤝 Connect with Me

LinkedIn · Website

Outside finance, I like exploring places on foot. One of my favourite experiences was hiking to Nanga Parbat Base Camp; other trips have taken me to Chitta Katha Lake in Kashmir, the Haramosh Valley and historical sites from Mohenjo-daro to Makli. Since moving to Germany, I’ve continued the habit on its hiking trails. I also play squash and rarely turn down a conversation about history or geopolitics.

@mujtababhutto's activity is private