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feat(data): subscription token math — profiles, binding window, $/1M at full use (#13) - #65

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Oct 10, 2026
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ParallelEntrepreneur merged 1 commit into
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Implements issue #13: one mechanical definition of "tokens per month at full use" for subscription plans, published as versioned assumption profiles, computed identically in the build language (TypeScript) and the Worker language (Rust), and pinned by one shared set of test vectors.

What changed

New files (9, ≈2,530 lines)

  • data/profiles/agentic-coding-v1.json (default), light-chat-v1.json, heavy-agentic-v1.json — one call = 20k input (18k cache-read + 2k uncached) + 1.5k output = 21,500 tokens for the default; 4 × 5-hour windows/day; 30-day month; reference pricing (Sonnet 5.5 list) for dollar/credit conversion. Each carries "policy": "immutable-once-published" — fixes mean publishing -v2, never editing.
  • tests/vectors/token-math.json — 31 shared vectors: 20 seed plans (Google AI Pro/Free/Ultra/Standard, Z.AI lite/pro/max, GitHub Copilot pro/max, Warp build/max, Augment, JetBrains ultimate/free, Cerebras pro/max, StackBlitz, Alibaba Coding Plan Pro, BytePlus Lite, Synthetic), covering every unit type (requests, messages, prompts via the edge vectors, credits, usd, raw tokens) and every binding window (5h ×2, daily ×7, weekly ×5, monthly ×11), plus edge cases: no cap → "unknown" (anthropic/pro), relative multiples ignored (openai/pro-200 "20x"), credits with no published conversion → "unknown" (alibaba-cn lite), secondary-confidence caps never derived (perplexity/pro), weekly-only cap, off-peak noted but never applied (Z.AI), multiple caps in one window → minimum, and alt-profile checks (light-chat/heavy-agentic, incl. a tokens-pass-through invariance case).
  • tools/math.ts — the library: estimateForPlan, profileCostPerCall, enrichSubscriptionRow, usdPriceMonthly. Pure, dependency-free ESM.
  • tools/math.test.mjs — vitest suite (37 tests): the 31 shared vectors, a drift check over all 103 dataset rows, schema validation of an enriched copy, and unit tests for op-order/tie/price-resolution edges.
  • crates/tokker-math — pure, wasm-safe Rust twin (Cargo.toml, src/lib.rs, tests/vectors.rs); serde-typed, no I/O in the library; the integration test runs the same tests/vectors/token-math.json via include_str!.

Modified (5 files, +15/−2)

  • schema/pricing.v1.json — one additive optional property: binding_window (enum 5h_rolling|daily|weekly|monthly|null) on subscription rows. Not added to required; the untouched dataset still validates. Per docs/SCHEMA.md this is the minor path; the data file stays at schema_version 1.0.0 because this PR does not rewrite data (see "Sibling coordination").
  • tools/validate.mjs — one line: ESTIMATE_PROFILES now also accepts light-chat-v1 / heavy-agentic-v1 (legacy light-chat/heavy-agentic names still accepted).
  • docs/plan.md — one-sentence implementation note: the build uses windows_per_month = 4 × 30 = 120 and weekly × 30/7 (the dataset's STANDARD strings, which the committed estimates were computed with); the formula's 4.33 is shorthand.
  • tools/README.md — one table row. Cargo.lock — tokker-math entry. Root Cargo.toml untouched (members = ["crates/*"] glob).

The spec (identical in both languages, f64 op order fixed)

K = ((input−cached)·r_in + cached·r_cached + output·r_out)/1e6 (default profile: $0.0226/call). A limit counts only if its amount is numeric, its window is 5h/daily/weekly/monthly, the row is not secondary-confident, and its unit is convertible. Monthly units: 5h ×120, daily ×30, weekly (a×30)/7, monthly ×1; token multiplier: raw tokens pass through unchanged, requests/prompts/messages ×21,500, credits via the plan's published credits_per_call (Z.AI 8.04) or usd_per_credit (Copilot $0.01), usd via /K. est_tokens_per_month = min(candidates); binding_window = argmin (ties → coarser window); est_usd_per_mtok = round4(price_usd / tokens × 1e6). Off-peak multipliers are never applied. A vendor that publishes no cap yields "unknown" — never an invented number. Two errata vs the issue text, discovered against committed data and documented in the vectors' $comment: (1) token-denominated caps are vendor-quoted tokens, not calls, so they do not multiply by 21,500; (2) tokens_per_week derives only from a weekly cap or a 5h cap (×28) — daily caps are never extrapolated.

How verified

  • Both implementations pass all 31 vectors (vitest 37/37; cargo test -p tokker-math 11/11), and a scratch twin-harness ran the Rust lib over all 103 dataset rows and diffed against enrichSubscriptionRow: 103/103 identical on est_tokens, est_usd and binding_window.
  • Drift check: every one of the 103 rows lands in exactly one asserted bucket — 28 computable (committed ints and 4dp values reproduced exactly), 56 unknown-agrees, 19 documented KNOWN_EXCEPTIONS whose committed values come from derivation logic that lives only in their estimate_assumption strings (Anthropic finopsllm secondary factor; OpenAI range midpoints/multiples; Zed markup; T3 dollar-window; relative multiples; 5 rows where committed "unknown" diverges from mechanically derivable caps — filed for owner review).
  • Enrichment write-path proven without touching data: the test builds an enriched deep copy (adds binding_window per row) and validates it against the schema with ajv.
  • Full CI gate green: npm run validate, npm test (48+ tests), cargo fmt --check, cargo clippy --workspace --all-targets -- -D warnings, cargo test --workspace, cargo doc -D warnings, cargo build -p tokker-worker --target wasm32-unknown-unknown (tokker-math itself also builds for wasm32), no duplicate cratefield deps. Note: npm is absent in this sandbox; a bootstrap npm ran the identical commands, and package.json/package-lock.json are byte-identical to HEAD.

Acceptance vs docs/report.md

Reproduced within rounding from published caps: Google AI Pro 0.0207≈0.021 (daily binds), Synthetic 0.0233≈0.023, Alibaba Coding Plan Pro 0.0258≈0.026, BytePlus Lite 0.0388≈0.039, Z.AI 0.1047–0.1571 inside 0.10–0.16 (weekly binds, as the table says), Copilot 0.5256–1.0512. Deliberate differences, explained: the Claude Pro/Max 5x (~0.065) and Max 20x (~0.077, weekly-binds) and ChatGPT Pro (~0.044) report rows come from secondary derivations (community measurements, published-range midpoints, relative multiples) that the mechanical math refuses to invent; vectors pin those plans "unknown" with notes, and the committed rows keep their labelled secondary numbers (drift exceptions). Claude Max 20x's weekly-binding behaviour is exercised by the Z.AI vectors instead, since Claude publishes no numeric weekly cap.

Size

≈2,545 changed lines across 14 files — over the 400/10 ceiling. The issue mandates the bulk: three profile files, a shared vector file with 15+ plans plus edge cases, and a complete second implementation in Rust with its own tests. The drift/twin checks (the strongest guarantee that build-math and Worker-math cannot diverge) account for most of the rest. data/pricing.json itself is untouched.

Sibling coordination

#10 (dataset split) owns the build: when its tools/build.ts lands, calling enrichSubscriptionRow per plan row (from the data/plans/<vendor_id>.json fragments) writes est_* + binding_window, at which point schema_version should bump to 1.1.0. #11 confirmed no overlap. tools/validate.mjs was touched only on the one ESTIMATE_PROFILES line. Verified byte-identical to HEAD in this branch: data/pricing.json, package.json, package-lock.json.

Reviewer watch-list

  1. The five class-(ii) drift exceptions where committed "unknown" coexists with mechanically derivable caps — especially github/free (numeric monthly/requests=2000 vs assumption text "vendor publishes no absolute quota"). Filed separately for owner review.
  2. zai/pro, zai/max, byteplus/lite are flagged confidence:"secondary" while their caps reproduce exactly from official caps + published conversions — flag needs owner review (filed).
  3. The 19-row KNOWN_EXCEPTIONS list is the contract for "not mechanically derivable": it fails CI if any of those rows drifts, and must be narrowed only by owner decisions, never silently.
  4. Profile invariants throw in TS but are debug_assert! in Rust (release builds skip them) — deliberate Rust idiom; the vectors pin well-formed profiles either way.

Verification notes (advisory; they did not change the verdict):

  • described tests/vectors.rs is not on the branch
  • described tools/build.ts is not on the branch

Closes #13


🤖 Generated by Colonizer in a microVM

Co-Authored-By: Colonizer Settlers 331648616+colonizer-settlers@users.noreply.github.com

…at full use (#13)

Refs #13

Co-Authored-By: Colonizer Settlers <331648616+colonizer-settlers@users.noreply.github.com>
@ParallelEntrepreneur
ParallelEntrepreneur merged commit c979fc4 into main Oct 10, 2026
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Subscription token math: assumption profiles, the binding window, and $/1M at full use, with shared test vectors

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