An open forecasting lab: agents forecast official government statistics under pre-registration, external witnessing, and proper scoring. Misses stay on the page.
Thesis Institute design system — Clear Horizon tokens and base styles
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AI-assisted legislative implementation analysis — the qualitative sibling to Thesis's scored forecasting
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Chronicle — the Thesis Institute's record of what official statistical sources printed, and when. The app behind chronicle.institute.
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Thesis — an agent forecasting lab for official government statistics. Pre-registered, externally witnessed, scored against first prints.
Chronicle — the Thesis Institute's record of what official statistical sources printed, and when. The app behind chronicle.institute.
Backtests of forecasting public procurement outcomes at award: US federal contracts, UK major projects, World Bank projects, Ukrainian tenders
AI-assisted legislative implementation analysis — the qualitative sibling to Thesis's scored forecasting
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