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Count Carer Support Payment after the overlapping-benefit reduction in Scottish working-age Council Tax Reduction - #2821

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@MaxGhenis

@MaxGhenis MaxGhenis commented Nov 2, 2026 •

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Addresses #2820

Scottish working-age Council Tax Reduction (CTR) now counts the Carer Support Payment (CSP) after the overlapping-benefit reduction in the Carer Support Payment Regulations (SSI 2023/302) reg 16(2). The working-age route counted carer_support_payment_pre_overlap, which added £86.45 a week in 2026-27 for a carer whose contributory ESA or another overlapping benefit reduces CSP to nil. That carer's CTR income now leaves CSP out, and the carer keeps the carer premium. Pension-age claims keep main's reading, which counts CSP before the reduction, so #2820 stays open for them.

Reading

At working age, the council counts the benefits "to which the applicant is entitled, subject to any adjustment to the amount payable in accordance with Regulations under section 73 of the Social Security Administration Act 1992", CSP among them (SSI 2021/249 reg 57(1)(b)(iva)). The Scottish Ministers made the CSP Regs under the Social Security (Scotland) Act 2018, not under s. 73, so the council looks to the carer's entitlement. The Ministers must give a carer whatever assistance a determination entitles them to (2018 Act s. 24). Under reg 16(2) of the CSP Regs, Social Security Scotland cuts the CSP "to be given" to a carer by any overlapping benefit paid, to £0 where the benefit matches or exceeds it. The Ministers also defined CSP in reg 4(1) as the component "payable under" the CSP Regs. So the council counts the CSP after the cut.

The Scottish Government calls a carer on a nil award "entitled to an award of £0" (response to the Scottish Commission on Social Security). Social Security Scotland's CSP decision-making guide lists CTR among the benefits that fall by "the amount of Carer Support Payment received". Counting CSP before the cut would count both the ESA and the CSP it replaces.

Pension age

The shared formula, council_tax_reduction_applicable_income, still counts CSP before the reduction for pension-age claims, as main does. At pension age the council counts social security benefits as income (SSI 2012/319 reg 27(1)(j)). Where a benefit's payment "is subject to any deduction (other than an adjustment specified in paragraph (5))", the council counts "the amount before the deduction is made" (reg 27(3)). In reg 27(5), the Scottish Ministers listed the Social Security (Overlapping Benefits) Regulations 1979 and three other adjustments, but not reg 16(2). The UK Government added reg 16(2) to the matching Pension Credit and pension-age Housing Benefit rules (SPC reg 15(4)(g); HB(SPC) reg 29(4)(g)). The Ministers brought CSP into both CTR schemes with SSI 2023/258, and the Scottish Government's Policy Note says the amendments treat CSP payments and clients "consistently with payments and clients of Carer's Allowance". The note doesn't mention reg 27, reg 16 or overlapping benefits. We found no decision or guidance that reconciles reg 27(3) with reg 16(2), so the formula keeps main's reading until a ruling settles it. The pension-age overlap case in the YAML file keeps main's award of £1,200.86.

Changes

  • council_tax_reduction_working_age_unearned_income, the unearned income on the Scottish and Welsh working-age route (Give Scotland and Wales working-age CTR their own rules #1966), lists carer_support_payment in place of carer_support_payment_pre_overlap. Its references add SSI 2023/302 reg 16, the 2018 Act s. 24 and the Social Security Scotland guide.
  • council_tax_reduction_applicable_income keeps carer_support_payment_pre_overlap. Its comment now gives the working-age route's reading and the open pension-age question, and its references add SSI 2023/302 reg 16, SPC reg 15 and HB(SPC) reg 29.
  • The working-age overlap case in council_tax_reduction_carer_support_payment.yaml, a carer on contributory ESA of £96.15 a week, now expects working-age income of 5,000, the ESA alone, and an award of the whole £2,000 bill. Main expects 9,495.40 and £1,595.40.
  • test_council_tax_reduction_carer_income_properties.py checks the CSP paid on the working-age route and runs the ESA carer as an explicit example.
  • The disable_simulated_benefits reform sets carer_support_payment to the reported Carer's Allowance for Scottish carers from 2025 and keeps carer_support_payment_pre_overlap simulated. Under it, the working-age route now counts the reported amount, as Housing Benefit, Pension Credit and Universal Credit do.

Invariants

The docstring of test_council_tax_reduction_carer_income_properties.py lists six invariants for Scottish families with one carer in 2026. We restate invariant 5, on the working-age route:

  1. Claiming CSP raises working-age unearned income by the CSP paid after any overlapping-benefit reduction, and the working-age applicable amount by one carer premium, even where the reduction takes CSP to nil. Where the claim isn't passported, the award moves against the rise in income less the rise in the applicable amount: it never rises where that difference is positive and never falls where it's negative. Where both awards fall between nil and the whole bill, the award falls by 20% of the difference.

Invariants 1 to 4 and 6 keep main's wording.

Tests

CI passes every check at 445f87307:

  • The YAML job passes all 6,087 cases, among them the working-age carer whose contributory ESA reduces CSP to nil.
  • The seven Python shards pass 12,784 tests, including the four property tests in test_council_tax_reduction_carer_income_properties.py.

Impact

On the certified 2024-25 dataset, this change moves no household's net income from 2025-26 to 2031-32 and leaves tax receipts, benefit spending, poverty and inequality unchanged. It breaks none of the Aggregate impact checks.

axiom: TheAxiomFoundation/rulespec-uk#432 queued

Reproducer: policyengine_uk/tests/policy/baseline/gov/local_authorities/council_tax_reduction/council_tax_reduction_carer_support_payment.yaml::A working-age carer whose contributory ESA reduces Carer Support Payment to nil has none counted in Council Tax Reduction, policyengine_uk/tests/test_council_tax_reduction_carer_income_properties.py::test_council_tax_reduction_income_counts_the_carer_support_payment_component

🤖 Generated with Claude Code

Scottish Council Tax Reduction income counted carer_support_payment_pre_overlap,
so a carer whose State Pension or contributory ESA reduces Carer Support
Payment to nil under SSI 2023/302 reg 16(2) still had 86.45 a week counted.
SSI 2021/249 reg 57(1)(b) counts the CSP the carer is entitled to be given,
and Social Security Scotland's guidance reduces CTR by the CSP received; the
pension-age SSI 2012/319 reg 27(3) text leaves both readings open, so the
agency's reading applies at both ages.

Fixes #2820

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
@github-actions

github-actions Bot commented Nov 2, 2026 •

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Aggregate impact on certified data: pass

Base e0502003df against head 3bf62632b5, both on enhanced_frs_2024_25.h5 (policyengine-uk-data 1.58.1, sha256 056e80fd8e91), fiscal years 2025-26 to 2031-32. Each year is a full microsimulation run on each side.

Checks: 0 broken by this change, 1 failing on both sides, 0 fixed. Moves flagged for review: 0 (thresholds in report_spec.yaml; a flag does not fail the job).

Workflow run and full report

Notes

  • In the years a figure from fewer than 10 records is suppressed (spending.disabled_students_allowance), every total containing it, and the decile incomes, are rebuilt from their other components, so no published total includes it. Those totals are marked †. A change is withheld where the two sides leave out different figures and can't be lined up.

Moves flagged for review

None.

Spending by benefit and service

Measure 2025-26 2026-27 2027-28 2028-29 2029-30 2030-31 2031-32
Disabled Students' Allowance suppressed suppressed suppressed suppressed suppressed suppressed suppressed

Caseloads

Measure 2025-26 2026-27 2027-28 2028-29 2029-30 2030-31 2031-32
Disabled Students' Allowance suppressed suppressed suppressed suppressed suppressed suppressed suppressed

Household net income by decile

No household's net income changes in any year.

No change in any year: receipts by tax head; government balance, each component counted once; model totals; household income totals; population; poverty rates; people in poverty; inequality; mean household net income in each side's own deciles; standard reform costings (change in gov_balance); standard reforms: change in each reform's target.

Checks failing on both base and head (1)
  • VAT excluding private school fees is never negative (sign:vat): 2025-26: 76 units below zero, a weighted £-53,888,684 in total; 2026-27: 76 units below zero, a weighted £-55,777,260 in total; 2027-28: 76 units below zero, a weighted £-57,727,917 in total
Counted-once check

The check raised each of 92 components by £1 per unit in 2026-27 and read every head of its totals household by household: its own head must rise by exactly £1, no other tax head may move, no other benefit may rise, and the model's own total must move by what its heads moved. A response that is not finite breaks every rule. The check measures a head that breaks a rule twice more: once holding every other head at its baseline value, and once holding every other head at its value after the first £1 while the component rises again. The head fails where either measurement still shows the response. The check cannot hold a head at a value that is not finite. In each unit where another head is not finite after the first £1, it holds that head at its baseline value, and the second measurement judges no household the unit belongs to. There a head fails wherever it first broke a rule, or wherever the check could not confirm whether its response contains the component. 0 failed and the check skipped 0.

  • widowed_parents_allowance: pension_credit responds only through other heads in fewer than 10 households (other heads that moved there: carers_allowance; gov_spending; not a failure)
  • widowed_parents_allowance: pension_credit responds only through other heads in fewer than 10 households (other heads that moved there: carers_allowance; household_benefits; not a failure)
Provenance
Side Commit Runtime Environment hash Partition hash Time
base main e0502003df uk 2.176.1 (files 280db20b85c9), core 3.34.1, py 3.13.18 aarch64 3d7fa2d68fc7 3bcfb3473960 2548.44s
head #2821 merged into main 3bf62632b5 uk 2.176.1 (files bb869fff7972), core 3.34.1, py 3.13.18 aarch64 3d7fa2d68fc7 3bcfb3473960 2552.28s

Dataset: hf://policyengine/policyengine-uk-data-private/enhanced_frs_2024_25.h5@2526edbbb687a3b54dbb11272e5389e4b62d2ac2, sha256 056e80fd8e9151d78f432a25cde863340baee81304c6216a37fb575ce8563784 (verified on both sides), policyengine-uk-data 1.58.1.

Receipts by tax head: head levels
Measure (head) 2025-26 2026-27 2027-28 2028-29 2029-30 2030-31 2031-32
Final charge on cash interest in non-cash ISAs £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn
Lifetime ISA withdrawal charge £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn
Income tax £294.46bn £315.23bn £335.82bn £351.28bn £366.96bn £385.36bn £399.99bn
National Insurance (employee and self-employed) £51.70bn £54.14bn £56.13bn £57.73bn £59.76bn £61.64bn £63.51bn
National Insurance (employer) £148.71bn £155.37bn £160.88bn £165.09bn £172.06bn £177.36bn £182.57bn
Employer NI change borne by capital £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn
Employer NI change borne by consumers £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn
Capital gains tax £12.60bn £13.15bn £13.60bn £14.11bn £14.67bn £15.24bn £15.80bn
Student loan repayments £7.82bn £8.13bn £8.39bn £8.58bn £8.79bn £9.04bn £9.29bn
VAT excluding private school fees £249.37bn £256.87bn £266.33bn £272.70bn £278.97bn £285.24bn £291.59bn
Change in VAT from its baseline £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn
VAT on private school fees £1.95bn £2.01bn £2.09bn £2.14bn £2.20bn £2.26bn £2.31bn
Change in private school VAT from its baseline £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn
Fuel duties £24.71bn £24.13bn £26.00bn £26.83bn £26.51bn £25.78bn £24.63bn
Alcohol duties £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn
Tobacco duties £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn
Vehicle excise duties £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn
Betting and gaming duties £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn
TV licence fee £4.26bn £4.40bn £4.41bn £4.42bn £4.43bn £4.44bn £4.45bn
Council tax £49.21bn £52.16bn £54.89bn £57.95bn £61.16bn £64.47bn £67.91bn
High value council tax surcharge £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.48bn £0.49bn £0.50bn £0.51bn
Northern Ireland domestic rates £0.55bn £0.58bn £0.60bn £0.63bn £0.66bn £0.69bn £0.72bn
Business rates £34.68bn £36.20bn £38.00bn £39.46bn £42.27bn £43.25bn £44.29bn
Stamp duty land tax on the household's own purchases £6.88bn £7.32bn £7.66bn £8.06bn £8.47bn £8.91bn £9.35bn
Stamp duty land tax paid by companies £4.72bn £4.57bn £5.29bn £6.03bn £6.37bn £6.92bn £7.45bn
Land transaction tax (Wales) £0.07bn £0.08bn £0.08bn £0.09bn £0.10bn £0.10bn £0.11bn
Land and buildings transaction tax (Scotland) £0.31bn £0.32bn £0.33bn £0.35bn £0.36bn £0.38bn £0.40bn
Unspecified tax change borne by capital £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn
Unspecified tax change borne by consumers £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn
Wealth tax £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn
Wealth tax excluding the main residence £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn
Land value tax £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn
Carbon tax £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn
Spending by benefit and service: head levels
Measure (head) 2025-26 2026-27 2027-28 2028-29 2029-30 2030-31 2031-32
Lifetime ISA bonus £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn
State Pension £121.68bn £125.92bn £126.72bn £129.48bn £132.98bn £136.65bn £140.41bn
Pension Credit £6.21bn £6.46bn £6.68bn £6.82bn £6.89bn £7.07bn £7.22bn
Winter Fuel Payment £1.86bn £1.85bn £1.79bn £1.77bn £1.78bn £1.78bn £1.78bn
Pension Age Winter Heating Payment (Scotland) £0.19bn £0.20bn £0.20bn £0.21bn £0.21bn £0.22bn £0.22bn
Universal Credit £75.48bn £81.56bn £84.02bn £86.07bn £87.22bn £88.76bn £89.38bn
Housing Benefit £8.56bn £8.51bn £8.83bn £9.05bn £9.28bn £9.56bn £9.83bn
Council Tax Reduction £2.18bn £2.31bn £2.43bn £2.57bn £2.71bn £2.86bn £3.01bn
Employment and Support Allowance (income-related) £0.79bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn
Employment and Support Allowance (contribution-based) £5.20bn £5.37bn £5.56bn £5.69bn £5.82bn £5.95bn £6.09bn
Jobseeker's Allowance (income-based) £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn
Jobseeker's Allowance (contribution-based) £0.29bn £0.30bn £0.31bn £0.31bn £0.32bn £0.33bn £0.34bn
Income Support £0.11bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn
Working Tax Credit £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn
Child Tax Credit £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn
Incapacity Benefit £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn
Personal Independence Payment £26.95bn £28.03bn £29.05bn £30.09bn £30.75bn £31.51bn £32.21bn
Disability Living Allowance £7.49bn £7.79bn £8.07bn £8.36bn £8.55bn £8.76bn £8.95bn
Attendance Allowance £8.68bn £9.03bn £9.36bn £9.69bn £9.90bn £10.15bn £10.38bn
Carer's Allowance £4.48bn £4.66bn £4.83bn £5.00bn £5.11bn £5.27bn £5.42bn
Carer Support Payment (Scotland) £0.31bn £0.32bn £0.33bn £0.34bn £0.35bn £0.36bn £0.37bn
Carer's Allowance Supplement (Scotland) £0.00bn £0.04bn £0.04bn £0.05bn £0.05bn £0.05bn £0.05bn
Severe Disablement Allowance £0.03bn £0.03bn £0.03bn £0.03bn £0.03bn £0.03bn £0.03bn
Industrial Injuries Disablement Benefit £0.50bn £0.52bn £0.54bn £0.55bn £0.56bn £0.58bn £0.59bn
Armed Forces Compensation Scheme £0.61bn £0.63bn £0.65bn £0.66bn £0.68bn £0.69bn £0.71bn
War Widow's or Widower's Pension £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn
Child Benefit £16.19bn £16.82bn £17.39bn £18.00bn £18.39bn £18.84bn £19.25bn
Scottish Child Payment £0.49bn £0.52bn £0.53bn £0.55bn £0.56bn £0.57bn £0.56bn
Two Child Limit Payment (Scotland, counterfactual) £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn
Healthy Start vouchers £0.05bn £0.05bn £0.05bn £0.05bn £0.05bn £0.05bn £0.05bn
Maternity Allowance £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn
Statutory Maternity Pay £3.30bn £3.41bn £3.54bn £3.62bn £3.70bn £3.78bn £3.87bn
Statutory Paternity Pay £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn
Statutory Sick Pay £1.12bn £1.16bn £1.20bn £1.23bn £1.26bn £1.29bn £1.32bn
Sure Start Maternity Grant £0.01bn £0.01bn £0.01bn £0.01bn £0.01bn £0.01bn £0.01bn
Bereavement Support Payment £0.67bn £0.69bn £0.71bn £0.73bn £0.75bn £0.76bn £0.78bn
Widowed Parent's Allowance £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn
Tax-Free Childcare £0.56bn £0.57bn £0.57bn £0.58bn £0.60bn £0.61bn £0.59bn
Extended childcare entitlement £2.99bn £3.50bn £3.59bn £3.71bn £3.78bn £3.86bn £3.93bn
Universal childcare entitlement £2.06bn £2.22bn £2.29bn £2.37bn £2.43bn £2.48bn £2.53bn
Targeted childcare entitlement £0.50bn £0.51bn £0.52bn £0.54bn £0.55bn £0.57bn £0.56bn
Childcare Offer for Wales £0.26bn £0.28bn £0.28bn £0.29bn £0.30bn £0.31bn £0.32bn
Care to Learn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn
Childcare Grant £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn
Parents' Learning Allowance £0.20bn £0.20bn £0.20bn £0.20bn £0.20bn £0.20bn £0.20bn
Adult Dependants' Grant £0.06bn £0.06bn £0.04bn £0.04bn £0.04bn £0.04bn £0.04bn
Travel Grant £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn
Disabled Students' Allowance suppressed suppressed suppressed suppressed suppressed suppressed suppressed
16 to 19 Bursary Fund £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn
NHS spending £203.89bn £204.30bn £204.56bn £204.91bn £205.34bn £205.85bn £206.35bn
State education spending £0.02bn £0.02bn £0.02bn £0.02bn £0.02bn £0.02bn £0.02bn
Transport subsidy spending £25.05bn £25.10bn £25.14bn £25.18bn £25.23bn £25.30bn £25.36bn
Cost-of-living support payment £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn
Energy Bills Rebate £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn
Household Energy Payment £0.00bn £2.11bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn
Energy Price Guarantee subsidy £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn
Basic income £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn
Disability basic income £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn
Other public spending budget change £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn
Caseloads: head levels
Measure (head) 2025-26 2026-27 2027-28 2028-29 2029-30 2030-31 2031-32
Lifetime ISA bonus 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k
State Pension 11,264k 11,145k 10,819k 10,700k 10,723k 10,750k 10,776k
Pension Credit 1,489k 1,484k 1,476k 1,454k 1,452k 1,457k 1,466k
Winter Fuel Payment 7,844k 7,783k 7,473k 7,375k 7,391k 7,409k 7,427k
Pension Age Winter Heating Payment (Scotland) 803k 802k 800k 797k 799k 801k 802k
Universal Credit 6,342k 6,418k 6,408k 6,369k 6,363k 6,343k 6,295k
Housing Benefit 1,249k 1,182k 1,181k 1,164k 1,164k 1,166k 1,168k
Council Tax Reduction 3,319k 3,336k 3,344k 3,357k 3,369k 3,381k 3,388k
Employment and Support Allowance (income-related) 71k 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k
Employment and Support Allowance (contribution-based) 719k 720k 721k 722k 724k 726k 728k
Jobseeker's Allowance (income-based) 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k
Jobseeker's Allowance (contribution-based) 67k 67k 67k 67k 67k 68k 68k
Income Support 25k 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k
Working Tax Credit 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k
Child Tax Credit 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k
Incapacity Benefit 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k
Personal Independence Payment 3,567k 3,575k 3,579k 3,585k 3,593k 3,602k 3,611k
Disability Living Allowance 1,291k 1,294k 1,296k 1,298k 1,300k 1,304k 1,307k
Attendance Allowance 1,695k 1,698k 1,700k 1,703k 1,707k 1,711k 1,715k
Carer's Allowance 1,034k 1,037k 1,038k 1,040k 1,042k 1,060k 1,062k
Carer Support Payment (Scotland) 71k 71k 71k 72k 72k 72k 72k
Carer's Allowance Supplement (Scotland) 0k 71k 71k 72k 72k 72k 72k
Severe Disablement Allowance 4k 4k 4k 4k 4k 4k 4k
Industrial Injuries Disablement Benefit 137k 137k 137k 138k 138k 138k 139k
Armed Forces Compensation Scheme 93k 93k 94k 94k 94k 94k 94k
War Widow's or Widower's Pension 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k
Child Benefit 8,123k 8,120k 8,120k 8,130k 8,145k 8,161k 8,178k
Scottish Child Payment 351k 352k 352k 353k 350k 348k 337k
Two Child Limit Payment (Scotland, counterfactual) 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k
Healthy Start vouchers 200k 200k 200k 201k 201k 201k 202k
Maternity Allowance 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k
Statutory Maternity Pay 333k 333k 334k 334k 335k 336k 337k
Statutory Paternity Pay 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k
Statutory Sick Pay 181k 182k 182k 182k 182k 183k 183k
Sure Start Maternity Grant 26k 26k 26k 26k 26k 26k 26k
Bereavement Support Payment 98k 98k 98k 98k 98k 99k 99k
Widowed Parent's Allowance 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k
Tax-Free Childcare 1,043k 1,027k 1,014k 1,009k 1,011k 1,009k 993k
Extended childcare entitlement 795k 800k 796k 797k 798k 798k 792k
Universal childcare entitlement 1,071k 1,072k 1,072k 1,073k 1,076k 1,079k 1,074k
Targeted childcare entitlement 165k 156k 154k 154k 155k 155k 150k
Childcare Offer for Wales 39k 39k 39k 39k 39k 39k 39k
Care to Learn 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k
Childcare Grant 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k
Parents' Learning Allowance 98k 98k 98k 99k 99k 99k 99k
Adult Dependants' Grant 18k 18k 12k 12k 12k 12k 12k
Travel Grant 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k
Disabled Students' Allowance suppressed suppressed suppressed suppressed suppressed suppressed suppressed
16 to 19 Bursary Fund 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k
Cost-of-living support payment 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k
Energy Bills Rebate 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k
Household Energy Payment 0k 21,065k 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k
Energy Price Guarantee subsidy 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k
Basic income 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k
Disability basic income 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k 0k
Government balance, each component counted once: head levels
Measure (head) 2025-26 2026-27 2027-28 2028-29 2029-30 2030-31 2031-32
Government receipts, each component once £892.00bn £934.66bn £980.50bn £1,015.93bn £1,054.24bn £1,091.56bn £1,124.89bn
Government spending £529.04bn † £545.05bn † £550.11bn † £558.81bn † £566.42bn † £575.13bn † £582.72bn †
Government balance, each receipt once £362.96bn † £389.61bn † £430.39bn † £457.12bn † £487.81bn † £516.43bn † £542.17bn †
Benefits in household_benefits but not in gov_spending £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn £0.00bn
Model totals: head levels
Measure (head) 2025-26 2026-27 2027-28 2028-29 2029-30 2030-31 2031-32
gov_tax £892.00bn £934.66bn £980.50bn £1,015.93bn £1,054.24bn £1,091.56bn £1,124.89bn
household_tax £491.97bn £520.41bn £551.21bn £576.00bn £601.00bn £626.69bn £648.42bn
pre_budget_change_household_tax £484.15bn £512.28bn £542.82bn £566.95bn £591.72bn £617.16bn £638.61bn
gov_spending £529.04bn † £545.05bn † £550.11bn † £558.81bn † £566.42bn † £575.13bn † £582.72bn †
household_benefits £529.04bn † £545.05bn † £550.11bn † £558.81bn † £566.42bn † £575.13bn † £582.72bn †
gov_balance £362.96bn † £389.61bn † £430.39bn † £457.12bn † £487.81bn † £516.43bn † £542.17bn †
Household income totals: head levels
Measure (head) 2025-26 2026-27 2027-28 2028-29 2029-30 2030-31 2031-32
Household market income £1,637.96bn £1,702.77bn £1,757.35bn £1,806.41bn £1,855.97bn £1,912.43bn £1,970.44bn
Household net income £1,636.35bn † £1,687.21bn † £1,714.80bn † £1,746.79bn † £1,777.92bn † £1,816.20bn † £1,858.81bn †
Household net income (HBAI definition) £1,449.23bn £1,499.22bn £1,530.21bn £1,564.47bn £1,597.11bn £1,634.77bn £1,675.74bn
Population: head levels
Measure (head) 2025-26 2026-27 2027-28 2028-29 2029-30 2030-31 2031-32
People 69,245k 69,383k 69,473k 69,592k 69,738k 69,912k 70,080k
Benefit units 35,110k 35,181k 35,226k 35,286k 35,360k 35,449k 35,534k
Households 31,046k 31,108k 31,149k 31,201k 31,267k 31,345k 31,420k
Poverty rates: head levels
Measure (head) 2025-26 2026-27 2027-28 2028-29 2029-30 2030-31 2031-32
Absolute poverty, before housing costs: everyone 16.3% 15.5% 16.4% 16.3% 16.4% 16.5% 16.6%
Absolute poverty, before housing costs: children 24.7% 22.1% 23.3% 22.9% 23.1% 23.2% 23.4%
Absolute poverty, before housing costs: working-age adults 14.1% 13.8% 14.6% 14.7% 14.8% 14.8% 14.9%
Absolute poverty, before housing costs: pensioners 13.7% 13.4% 14.0% 13.8% 14.0% 14.0% 13.9%
Absolute poverty, after housing costs: everyone 21.5% 21.0% 22.0% 22.6% 22.8% 23.1% 23.4%
Absolute poverty, after housing costs: children 33.2% 31.2% 32.1% 32.5% 32.8% 33.3% 34.2%
Absolute poverty, after housing costs: working-age adults 19.9% 19.8% 20.8% 21.6% 21.9% 22.0% 22.3%
Absolute poverty, after housing costs: pensioners 12.7% 12.4% 13.2% 13.2% 13.3% 13.4% 13.6%
Relative poverty, before housing costs: everyone 17.0% 16.0% 16.4% 16.3% 16.4% 16.3% 16.6%
Relative poverty, before housing costs: children 25.9% 22.8% 23.3% 22.9% 23.0% 22.9% 23.4%
Relative poverty, before housing costs: working-age adults 14.5% 14.1% 14.6% 14.7% 14.7% 14.7% 14.9%
Relative poverty, before housing costs: pensioners 14.5% 14.1% 14.0% 13.8% 13.8% 13.9% 13.9%
Relative poverty, after housing costs: everyone 21.4% 21.0% 21.2% 21.3% 21.3% 21.5% 21.7%
Relative poverty, after housing costs: children 33.0% 31.1% 31.0% 31.0% 31.1% 31.2% 31.8%
Relative poverty, after housing costs: working-age adults 19.8% 19.8% 20.2% 20.4% 20.5% 20.6% 20.8%
Relative poverty, after housing costs: pensioners 12.5% 12.4% 12.2% 11.8% 11.7% 11.8% 12.1%
People in poverty: head levels
Measure (head) 2025-26 2026-27 2027-28 2028-29 2029-30 2030-31 2031-32
Absolute poverty, before housing costs: everyone 11,271k 10,769k 11,393k 11,359k 11,469k 11,507k 11,644k
Absolute poverty, before housing costs: children 3,685k 3,308k 3,490k 3,440k 3,476k 3,498k 3,544k
Absolute poverty, before housing costs: working-age adults 5,962k 5,886k 6,302k 6,357k 6,414k 6,425k 6,515k
Absolute poverty, before housing costs: pensioners 1,624k 1,575k 1,601k 1,562k 1,579k 1,585k 1,584k
Absolute poverty, after housing costs: everyone 14,904k 14,586k 15,282k 15,707k 15,924k 16,128k 16,418k
Absolute poverty, after housing costs: children 4,955k 4,675k 4,820k 4,878k 4,935k 5,030k 5,169k
Absolute poverty, after housing costs: working-age adults 8,443k 8,450k 8,956k 9,336k 9,484k 9,577k 9,703k
Absolute poverty, after housing costs: pensioners 1,506k 1,461k 1,506k 1,494k 1,506k 1,522k 1,546k
Relative poverty, before housing costs: everyone 11,745k 11,082k 11,379k 11,350k 11,408k 11,409k 11,644k
Relative poverty, before housing costs: children 3,870k 3,420k 3,490k 3,438k 3,461k 3,449k 3,544k
Relative poverty, before housing costs: working-age adults 6,155k 6,010k 6,295k 6,352k 6,383k 6,384k 6,515k
Relative poverty, before housing costs: pensioners 1,719k 1,651k 1,594k 1,560k 1,564k 1,576k 1,584k
Relative poverty, after housing costs: everyone 14,835k 14,539k 14,727k 14,798k 14,879k 15,019k 15,237k
Relative poverty, after housing costs: children 4,931k 4,654k 4,652k 4,654k 4,676k 4,705k 4,803k
Relative poverty, after housing costs: working-age adults 8,414k 8,429k 8,682k 8,817k 8,878k 8,972k 9,065k
Relative poverty, after housing costs: pensioners 1,490k 1,456k 1,393k 1,327k 1,325k 1,342k 1,369k
Inequality: head levels
Measure (head) 2025-26 2026-27 2027-28 2028-29 2029-30 2030-31 2031-32
Gini coefficient, equivalised HBAI income before housing costs 0.3078 0.3050 0.3056 0.3055 0.3060 0.3066 0.3082
Mean household net income in each side's own deciles: head levels
Measure (head) 2025-26 2026-27 2027-28 2028-29 2029-30 2030-31 2031-32
Decile 1: mean household_net_income per household £17,745 † £17,989 † £17,921 † £18,173 † £18,313 † £18,534 † £18,738 †
Decile 2: mean household_net_income per household £27,982 † £29,039 † £28,756 † £29,017 † £29,325 † £29,743 † £30,188 †
Decile 3: mean household_net_income per household £34,259 † £35,407 † £36,023 † £36,500 † £36,969 † £37,666 † £38,076 †
Decile 4: mean household_net_income per household £38,941 † £40,729 † £41,727 † £42,778 † £43,455 † £44,144 † £44,488 †
Decile 5: mean household_net_income per household £43,234 † £45,559 † £46,019 † £46,917 † £47,683 † £48,556 † £50,244 †
Decile 6: mean household_net_income per household £47,933 † £49,241 † £50,934 † £51,985 † £52,964 † £53,977 † £54,715 †
Decile 7: mean household_net_income per household £55,659 † £56,577 † £57,445 † £57,649 † £58,750 † £59,668 † £61,096 †
Decile 8: mean household_net_income per household £68,786 † £70,806 † £71,868 † £73,516 † £73,890 † £75,326 † £77,181 †
Decile 9: mean household_net_income per household £78,889 † £81,012 † £80,859 † £82,645 † £85,463 † £86,945 † £89,508 †
Decile 10: mean household_net_income per household £116,861 † £120,160 † £124,545 † £126,419 † £125,752 † £128,367 † £130,693 †
Standard reform costings (change in gov_balance): head levels
Measure (head) 2025-26 2026-27 2027-28 2028-29 2029-30 2030-31 2031-32
Raise basic rate by 1pp £6.41bn £6.66bn £6.63bn £6.85bn £7.03bn £7.25bn £7.49bn
Raise higher rate by 1pp £3.61bn £3.87bn £4.00bn £4.22bn £4.44bn £4.71bn £4.83bn
Raise personal allowance by ~800GBP/year £-3.81bn £-3.93bn £-3.99bn £-4.05bn £-4.11bn £-4.24bn £-1.95bn
Raise child benefit by 25GBP/week per additional child £-1.99bn £-1.75bn £-1.55bn £-1.38bn £-1.30bn £-1.18bn £-1.07bn
Reduce Universal Credit taper rate to 20% £-20.77bn £-21.32bn £-21.75bn £-22.00bn £-22.35bn £-22.75bn £-22.94bn
Raise Class 1 main employee NICs rate to 10% £10.89bn £11.30bn £11.71bn £12.01bn £12.31bn £12.62bn £13.00bn
Raise VAT standard rate by 2pp £24.89bn £25.71bn £26.63bn £27.24bn £27.87bn £28.50bn £29.14bn
Raise additional rate by 3pp £2.90bn £3.15bn £3.22bn £3.41bn £3.61bn £3.85bn £4.14bn
Raise the Universal Credit standard allowance by 10% £-3.06bn £-3.23bn £-3.30bn £-3.39bn £-3.48bn £-3.53bn £-3.55bn
Raise the State Pension by 10% £-7.76bn £-7.99bn £-8.22bn £-8.44bn £-8.79bn £-8.52bn £-8.86bn
Standard reforms: change in each reform's target: head levels
Measure (head) 2025-26 2026-27 2027-28 2028-29 2029-30 2030-31 2031-32
Raise basic rate by 1pp: change in income_tax £6.55bn £6.86bn £6.79bn £7.00bn £7.20bn £7.44bn £7.66bn
Raise higher rate by 1pp: change in income_tax £3.61bn £3.92bn £4.01bn £4.23bn £4.45bn £4.72bn £4.84bn
Raise personal allowance by ~800GBP/year: change in income_tax £-3.93bn £-4.07bn £-4.13bn £-4.18bn £-4.22bn £-4.40bn £-1.75bn
Raise child benefit by 25GBP/week per additional child: change in child_benefit £2.33bn £2.14bn £1.94bn £1.76bn £1.65bn £1.52bn £1.40bn
Reduce Universal Credit taper rate to 20%: change in universal_credit £20.74bn £21.31bn £21.79bn £22.05bn £22.37bn £22.78bn £22.99bn
Raise Class 1 main employee NICs rate to 10%: change in national_insurance £11.15bn £11.63bn £12.00bn £12.29bn £12.61bn £12.94bn £13.31bn
Raise VAT standard rate by 2pp: change in vat £24.69bn £25.51bn £26.42bn £27.03bn £27.65bn £28.28bn £28.91bn
Raise additional rate by 3pp: change in income_tax £2.90bn £3.15bn £3.22bn £3.42bn £3.62bn £3.86bn £4.12bn
Raise the Universal Credit standard allowance by 10%: change in universal_credit £3.06bn £3.22bn £3.32bn £3.41bn £3.47bn £3.53bn £3.55bn
Raise the State Pension by 10%: change in state_pension £10.68bn £11.17bn £11.28bn £11.60bn £12.03bn £12.46bn £12.96bn

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Reviewed adac4407925c860e23ac5ae21174052a7f4ee8a9. PARTIAL: no confirmed defects; one material interpretation gap remains.

The code checks passed: 63 tests and three final CTR/household-income diagnostics, including nil and partial CSP overlap. Underlying entitlement and the carer premium are retained. Current-head required checks also pass.

Before I can approve the pension-age change, I need a CTR-specific explanation of how SSI 2012/319 regulation 27(3) and (5) interacts with CSP regulation 16(2). Regulation 27 normally counts benefit before deductions, and its exceptions do not expressly name CSP regulation 16. The competing reading is that regulation 16 fixes the amount initially payable rather than deducting from a payment. This distinction controls the changed pension test (£799.14 difference).

The general Social Security Scotland guidance supports counting CSP received, but does not reconcile those pension-CTR provisions. Housing Benefit regulation 29 expressly names the CSP adjustment, so the HB-equality test cannot settle CTR's interpretation. I am not asserting that the chosen paid-CSP result is legally wrong.

I checked the actual Axiom #432 body and posted output-selection comment; that follow-up is recorded correctly. No billed encoding or private population run was performed.

Please add authority or an authoritative administrative interpretation that directly addresses the regulation 27/regulation 16 distinction. Carer-premium retention is independently supported. The PR also remains a draft, so this is a review comment rather than an approval.

@MaxGhenis

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Thanks for the review, @juaristi22. We searched the web, Find Case Law and the instruments' published notes and found no decision or guidance that reconciles reg 27(3) with reg 16(2). BAILII's bot check stopped our search there, and the Local Taxation Chamber, which hears CTR appeals, doesn't publish its CTR decisions. The Scottish Courts and Tribunals Service lists 146 Upper Tribunal for Scotland decisions on appeals from that Chamber and the Social Security Chamber, and none cites reg 27(3) or reg 16(2). We haven't asked the Scottish Government how it reads the two together. So we've made a judgment call: on the words alone we'd count CSP before the cut, on the Scottish Government's stated purpose we'd count it after, and we follow the purpose.

The council counts a benefit before "any deduction" (reg 27(3)), and the Scottish Ministers listed no CSP cut among the exceptions (reg 27(5)). They wrote "reduced" in reg 16(2) and kept "deduction" for setting CSP against a liability (reg 26). The Scottish Government's Policy Note for the CSP Regs says "the amount of Carer Support Payment may be reduced or set to £0". The Scottish Government told the Scottish Commission on Social Security that a carer on a £0 award "remains entitled to Carer Support Payment but does not receive payments". That supports the line you drew between setting CSP's amount and deducting from a payment. But in reg 27(5)(c), the Ministers carved "reductions in incapacity benefit" out of "any deduction", so "any deduction" in reg 27(3) can cover a reduction. They also named reg 16 beside the 1979 Regulations in the carer premium rules (Sch 1 para 6(1)(ab)). In SSI 2025/340 Sch 1 para 8, they amended reg 27(1)(j) and that reference without adding reg 16(2) to reg 27(5). The UK Government added it to the matching Pension Credit, pension-age Housing Benefit and English pension-age CTR rules.

The Scottish Ministers amended both CTR schemes for CSP in SSI 2023/258, and the Scottish Government's Policy Note for that instrument comes closest to the question. It says the amendments treat CSP payments and clients "consistently with payments and clients of Carer's Allowance". It adds that they make councils take CSP "into account in assessing entitlement" to CTR and let carers "receive additional amounts" there "in recognition of their caring role" (paragraph 9). It gives the instrument's purpose as ensuring that "carers receiving Carer Support Payment are not disadvantaged compared to carers receiving Carer's Allowance" (paragraph 5). The note doesn't mention reg 27, reg 16 or overlapping benefits, and the Ministers left reg 27 alone in that instrument.

Because the Ministers listed the 1979 Regulations in reg 27(5)(a), the council counts none of the Carer's Allowance that DWP cuts for a carer's State Pension. A council that counted CSP before the cut would count both the State Pension and the CSP it replaces. For a carer on a nil award in 2026, it would also add £86.45 a week of income against a carer premium of £48.15, so a claim that pays nothing could cost the carer CTR. For example, the couple in our pension-age case gets £1,599.18 of CTR a year if the partner doesn't claim CSP (would_claim_carers_allowance: false). If the partner claims and Social Security Scotland pays nothing, a council that counts CSP after the cut awards CTR for the whole £2,000 bill. One that counts it before the cut awards £1,200.86. Of older carers on State Pension, the Scottish Government's equality impact assessment for the CSP Regs says "carers with underlying entitlement on low incomes will continue to receive additional carer specific benefits". It adds "We will encourage people to take up or maintain underlying entitlement", though it doesn't mention CTR. We follow the SSI 2023/258 purpose and count CSP after the cut.

The Reading section in the PR description has the full reading with links. If you read the words as decisive, we'd switch pension-age CTR to carer_support_payment_pre_overlap and change that case to £1,200.86.

@MaxGhenis
MaxGhenis marked this pull request as ready for review November 5, 2026 05:18
@MaxGhenis
MaxGhenis requested a review from juaristi22 November 5, 2026 05:18
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Hand-off to the UK hub (local_60f5f051), from the session that wrote this PR.

  • Head: adac440, ready for review and MERGEABLE. The code hasn't changed since juaristi22 reviewed this head.
  • Review: the reply above answers juaristi22's review, and the Reading section now cites the Scottish Government's Policy Note for SSI 2023/258. I've re-requested juaristi22.
  • Independent review: GPT-6.1 Sol approved this head with no findings (~/reviews/uk-ctr-csp-income-2026-10-02/review/review_2821_adac440_out.md). An Opus agent checked the reply and the Reading section against the saved law texts and the voice guide, asked for revisions in both rounds, and I applied them (review_opus.md and review_opus_r2.md in ~/reviews/uk-ctr-csp-income-2026-10-02/out/d861/reply_2821/). I didn't send the final wording back to it. My last edits gave "we" the verb in the lead, added the Policy Note's "into account in assessing entitlement" clause and named DWP, and I ran the voice gate on the whole text after them.
  • CI: gh pr checks exits 0 at this head, with all 19 checks passing, and GitHub reports MERGEABLE and CLEAN.
  • Holds: d2161 holds UK merges, so this PR waits for a person to check and merge it. d861 stays parked, and this PR follows the reading logged as uk-ctr:scottish-csp-after-overlap. d2482 asks Max whether to follow the words or the stated purpose when they point different ways, and that ruling could reopen this reading.
  • If juaristi22 reads the words as decisive: pension-age CTR switches to carer_support_payment_pre_overlap, the pension-age YAML case returns to £1,200.86, and the Reading section and the rulespec-uk#432 consumers change with it. That takes a code and test commit, and d861 records it as that decision's original option (b).
  • Follow-up: the variable comment and the comment on the pension-age YAML case give the Social Security Scotland guide as the reason and don't cite the Policy Note. I left the code alone because the law doesn't require a change, so adding the Policy Note there takes a comment-only commit.
  • Linked: fixes Scottish Council Tax Reduction counts Carer Support Payment that an overlapping benefit cancels #2820. The Axiom mirror is Encode SSI 2021/249 reg 57(1)(b)(iv)-(iva) and SSI 2012/319 reg 27(1)(j), (3), (5): Carer Support Payment counts as Scottish CTR income and the Scottish Carer Supplement does not TheAxiomFoundation/rulespec-uk#432, and this comment carries the same reading.
  • Evidence: ~/reviews/uk-ctr-csp-income-2026-10-02/legal/recheck_2026-11-05/PROVENANCE.txt lists the searches and real runs.

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Source-only follow-up at unchanged adac4407925c860e23ac5ae21174052a7f4ee8a9 — PARTIAL; no confirmed findings, one material legal-interaction gap remains.

The new official Policy Notes support the intended Carer’s Allowance parity/net-payment treatment and explain that regulation 16(2) reduces the CSP amount. They do not expressly reconcile that reduction with pension-age CTR regulation 27(3)/(5), its broad pre-deduction wording, or the absence of the express exception found in the Housing Benefit comparator. The remaining gap is this statutory interaction, rather than the unsuccessful search for a published decision.

The new argument narrows the question but does not establish an unconditional wrong-cash oracle for either reading. Prior verified code evidence (63 repository checks and three native cases) is retained as historical evidence; no model tests or calculations were repeated. Approval remains withheld pending evidence resolving the interaction.

Official sources: SSI2023/258 Policy Note, SSI2023/302 Policy Note.

Main's devolved working-age route (#1966) gave Scottish working-age claims
their own unearned income, which counted Carer Support Payment before the
overlapping-benefit reduction. This branch counts it after the reduction at
working and pension age, so the merge carries that reading into
council_tax_reduction_working_age_unearned_income too, with the
SSI 2023/302 reg 16 and Social Security Scotland references.

The contributory ESA case now expects nil CSP on the working-age route as
well (working-age applicable income 5,000 and an award of the whole 2,000
bill), and invariant 5 of the carer income properties compares the rise in
working-age unearned income with the CSP paid after the reduction.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
@MaxGhenis

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We merged main (e050200) into this branch. Main's working-age route (#1966) counted Carer Support Payment before the overlapping-benefit reduction, so in the merge we switched council_tax_reduction_working_age_unearned_income to carer_support_payment too. In the contributory ESA case, the working-age route now counts income of 5,000 and awards the whole £2,000 bill. Invariant 5 compares the rise in working-age unearned income with the CSP paid.

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Follow-up at d5a84f14c17140e99d9691f78c8841b33ad4d16c — PARTIAL: no confirmed findings; the pension-age legal-interaction gap remains unverified.

I rechecked the merged working-age route, the changed tests and affected dependencies. 100 repository tests passed (96 YAML cases and four Python property tests), with no failures or skips, plus four household-context evaluations through final CTR and household net income. The 2026 contributory-ESA example counts £5,000 of income and awards £2,000 CTR; restoring the captured-main income readers gives £1,595.40 CTR, a £404.60 final-income difference.

The working-age post-overlap reading is supported by SSI 2021/249 regulations 4 and 57, read with CSP regulation 16(2). The overlap carer premium remains available subject to its other qualifying conditions.

At pension age, the remaining question is whether regulation 16(2) sets the initial CSP amount or is a deduction caught by SSI 2012/319 regulation 27(3), without a listed exception in 27(5). The SSI 2023/258 Policy Note, page 2 supports the parity purpose but does not reconcile that interaction. The pension example's £799.14 CTR/income difference demonstrates the implementation; it does not establish which legal reading is correct.

The current RuleSpec #432 packet and both comments were checked. Approval remains withheld pending authoritative evidence resolving the pension-age interaction or a scope change. Exact-head CI was still pending in the report capture; local test passes are separate evidence.

Scotland's pension-age scheme keeps main's reading. SSI 2012/319 reg 27(3)
counts a benefit before any deduction other than the reg 27(5)
adjustments, and reg 27(5) doesn't list the CSP Regs reg 16(2), though the
Pension Credit and pension-age Housing Benefit regulations do (SI
2002/1792 reg 15(4)(g); SI 2006/214 reg 29(4)(g)). Until a ruling settles
that question, the shared formula, which Scottish pension-age claims
follow, counts the CSP before the reduction. The devolved working-age
route keeps the after-reduction reading.

Invariant 5 now states the sign rule: on the devolved route a claim that
brings only the carer premium can raise the award, and a working-age ESA
overlap example pins it. The ESA YAML case drops the shared-formula
outputs, which a Scottish working-age award doesn't read.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
@MaxGhenis MaxGhenis changed the title Count Carer Support Payment after the overlapping-benefit reduction in Scottish Council Tax Reduction Count Carer Support Payment after the overlapping-benefit reduction in Scottish working-age Council Tax Reduction Nov 7, 2026
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Thanks, María. I've narrowed the PR to working age at 445f873. Pension-age claims keep main's reading, which counts CSP before the reg 16(2) cut, so #2820 stays open for them until a ruling settles reg 27(3) and (5). Here's what changed since d5a84f1:

  • council_tax_reduction_applicable_income goes back to carer_support_payment_pre_overlap, and the pension-age overlap case goes back to main's award of £1,200.86.
  • Invariant 5 now states the award's sign rule in place of "the reduction never rises". Where an overlapping benefit takes CSP to nil, the claim brings only the carer premium and can raise the award. The contributory ESA carer runs as an explicit example.
  • The title, body and changelog fragment name working age.

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Follow-up at 445f873074303467e5a979ee4d80fbe1dd56115b — COMPLETE: no findings or material evidence gaps in the narrowed working-age scope. Approval is withheld while exact-head CI remains pending.

The prior pension-age gap is resolved by scope removal. The shared income reader's executable methods match captured main, and the pension example again awards £1,200.86. This preserves main's behavior; it does not settle its pension-age legal interpretation. The description leaves #2820 open for that question.

The working-age post-overlap treatment is supported by SSI 2021/249 regulations 4 and 57, CSP regulation 16(2), and 2018 Act section 24. The overlap carer premium remains subject to its other qualifying conditions.

103 repository tests passed (96 YAML cases and seven Python tests), with no failures or skips. Four final-cash evaluations confirmed working-age CTR/household income of £2,000/£5,000 versus £1,595.40/£4,595.40 under captured-main readers, while pension-age results stayed unchanged. Two separately qualified reported-input controls also passed; their final award was held, so they establish the input-source contract rather than an independently simulated cash effect. Initial reviewer diagnostic setup errors were corrected and excluded, without rerunning the repository suite.

The filed RuleSpec #432 scope addendum selects the working-age change and defers pension-age treatment. The completed code/source review can be reused when CI finishes; approval also requires no new material commits, source changes or review feedback.

@MaxGhenis
MaxGhenis requested a review from juaristi22 November 7, 2026 19:57

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CI-only approval at 445f873074303467e5a979ee4d80fbe1dd56115b.

The updated description was also checked against exact-head CI logs: 6,087 YAML passes and 12,784 Python passes, with 61 allowlisted skips and two expected failures accounted for by Test / Result.

The completed working-age review remains COMPLETE, with no findings or material evidence gaps. All 20 latest checks now pass at this exact head, including required Lint and Test / Result. Head, description, human feedback and source guards were refreshed; the previous 103-test code/source review is retained without rerunning it.

The updated Aggregate report is attributable to this head and introduces no material contradiction. Its certified-dataset, year, suppression/alignment and unchanged baseline-check limitations remain; no new population score is independently certified here.

The pension-age issue remains outside this narrowed change, with main's behavior preserved rather than its legal interpretation certified. Prior finding and scope dispositions remain unchanged.

@juaristi22
juaristi22 added this pull request to the merge queue Nov 9, 2026
Merged via the queue into main with commit 92c0714 Nov 9, 2026
22 checks passed
@juaristi22
juaristi22 deleted the ctr-csp-after-overlap branch November 9, 2026 19:04
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2 participants