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Re-arm the UK QRF tail-concentration gate on independent draws #1277

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@juaristi22

The UK QRF tail-concentration gate (uk_qrf_tail_concentration) counts rows. Its thresholds were armed on design-weight measurements of an earlier spine, but the frames it now runs on duplicate records:

  • the CGT clones and the SPI support copies on every UK frame;
  • the K geographic clones on the local line.

A top-100 share is therefore measured over copies, not over independent draws. Thin instruments can cross the carrier floor on copies alone, and a cloned pool dilutes a genuine concentration.

Three SPI instruments now sit behind national-line reviewed exclusions in qrf_tail_reviewed_exclusions.json (PR #1242):

Column Expires
charitable_investment_gifts 2027-04-02
hmrc_spi_other_income 2027-01-14
hmrc_spi_taxable_termination_pay 2027-01-14

They are rare on the SPI tape and look genuinely concentrated whether counted by row or by independent record, so they are not the #462 donor-tail broadcast.

To do before 2027-01-14:

  1. Measure the gate on independent draws: collapse CGT clones, SPI copies and geographic clones to their source record.
  2. Re-arm top_k, max_top_share and min_nonzero_records on that measurement.
  3. For each of the three instruments, decide whether it stays behind a reviewed exclusion as a concentrated instrument or clears under the re-armed gate.
  4. Renew or retire the three entries accordingly.

Licensed figures stay out of this issue; measurements go to the owner privately.

Owner: @juaristi22. Raised in review of #1242.

Activity

  1. self-assigned this
    on Oct 14, 2026
  2. added a commit that references this issue on Oct 15, 2026
  3. juaristi22 commented on Oct 15, 2026

    @juaristi22
    CollaboratorAuthor

    Superseded by #1276. #1281 removes the QRF tail-concentration gate this issue asked to re-arm, and #1276 now carries the request for a replacement, including this issue's point about counting independent draws rather than rows. #1281 closes this issue when it merges.

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