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25 changes: 17 additions & 8 deletions climatecritters/model_critters/melcher25.py
Original file line number Diff line number Diff line change
Expand Up @@ -53,18 +53,27 @@ class Melcher25(CCModel):
var_name : str
Label for model output. Default is 'bistable'.
sigma : float
Noise amplitude applied to both state variables. Range [0.15, 0.4].
Default is 0.2.
Noise amplitude applied to both state variables. Default is 0.2, the
fitted value used in Melcher et al. (2025). The paper gives no formal
upper bound: [0.15, 0.4] is the range explored in the original
calibration grid (not a stability limit), and the paper only notes
qualitatively that "if σ is too high, the model behaves like a random
walk, leading to abrupt and unrealistic transitions" (Sec. 2.3.5).
gamma : float or callable or cc.core.Forcing
External forcing proportional to atmospheric CO2. Bistable behaviour
occurs near γ ≈ 1.5; range [0.8, 3.2]. If callable, must follow the
signature contract in ``contracts/signal_model_contract.md``:
``(t)``, ``(t, state)``, or ``(t, state, model)`` with the first
argument named ``t`` or ``time``. Default is 1.5.
occurs near γ ≈ 1.5; constrained to [0.6, 3.0] in Melcher et al.
(2025, Sec. 2.3.5) to keep the nullcline inside the relevant area of
the system. If callable, must follow the signature contract in
``contracts/signal_model_contract.md``: ``(t)``, ``(t, state)``, or
``(t, state, model)`` with the first argument named ``t`` or
``time``. Default is 1.5.
alpha : float or callable or cc.core.Forcing
Southern Ocean AABW coupling; controls the asymmetry between stadial
and interstadial durations. Range [-1.0, 0.0]. If callable, must follow
the same signature contract as gamma. Default is 0.0.
and interstadial durations. Constrained to [-1.0, 0.0] in Melcher
et al. (2025, Sec. 2.3.5): α > 0 makes the system diverge instead of
converging, and α < -1 would require unreasonably high noise to
match observations. If callable, must follow the same signature
contract as gamma. Default is 0.0.
b0 : float
Reference buoyancy gradient that sets the centre of the bistable
potential well. Default is 0.625 (calibrated from NGRIP,
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