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15 changes: 15 additions & 0 deletions docs/go-live-runbook.md
Original file line number Diff line number Diff line change
Expand Up @@ -88,6 +88,10 @@ nothing and costs nothing.
The rails have already passed at this point. The prompt is an **additional** human gate, never a
replacement for them.

**If you instead see `signals=0` and no preview**, no rule produced a setup this cycle — the
cycle itself ran fine. With a DCA test vehicle this is almost always the cadence gotcha (see
*What can still go wrong*), not a failure.

## 5. Verify against reality

Do not trust the tool's own success message alone. Check the exchange:
Expand Down Expand Up @@ -169,6 +173,17 @@ Turn it on only once you have watched several supervised cycles behave correctly
in autonomous mode.
- **Confirm mode places nothing when run headless.** That is not a bug: with no TTY the
confirmation declines. Use a terminal, or turn autonomy on deliberately.
- **`signals=0` and no preview — the rule simply didn't fire this cycle.** Nothing broke; no
`live` rule produced a setup. If your test vehicle is the **DCA rule**, note it is gated to a
**calendar cadence**: it emits a buy only when the most recent daily candle's day-number since
the Unix epoch is a multiple of `cadence_days` — for the weekly default (`cadence_days: 7`) that
is **Thursdays, UTC**. On any other day you get `signals=0` and never reach the confirm prompt.
Either run on a cadence day, or — for an on-demand test — set the DCA rule's `cadence_days` to
`1` so it fires every cycle, and revert it afterward. (There is no CLI to edit rule params; it
is a one-row update to the `rules` table's `params` JSON, which places no order.) The
risk-defined rules (`turtle_breakout`, `pullback_continuation`, `rsi_meanrev`) instead fire only
on a genuine market setup, whose timing you cannot choose — so **DCA on a cadence day is the
controllable path** for a first live order.
- **Equity moved because you deposited or withdrew.** Tell the tool (`keel record-flow --amount
±N`), or rail 11 will read the movement as drawdown and veto entries on an account that lost
nothing.
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