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Polymarket Insider Money Tracker

A V16 Polymarket insider-flow tracking system for detecting suspicious money, routing high-quality signals, simulating execution, and auditing the full trading lifecycle.

Python Polymarket Mode License

中文 · English · 日本語 · Screenshots · Quick Start


Highlights

  • Tracks suspicious Polymarket flow before events move.
  • Filters signals through the V16 score / tier / edge decision layer.
  • Uses market evidence allocation to route capital toward markets that actually perform.
  • Supports dry-run and live execution modes with separate account state.
  • Maintains trade intents, position lifecycle state, account truth, closed-ledger history, and dashboard views.
  • Ships with Linux systemd templates, cache maintenance, health checks, log cleanup, and safe environment templates.

Dry-run Scorecard

The dry-run account snapshot below is the kind of chart a trading system should be able to show before anyone trusts it with real money.

Metric Result
Initial capital $10,000
Ending cash / equity $28,063
Realized PnL +$18,063
Total return +180.63%
Win rate 46.2%
Open positions at snapshot 0

This is dry-run performance, not a live-profit promise. It does show that the full loop can work end to end: signal discovery, V16 filtering, sizing, entry, lifecycle management, exit, ledger accounting, and UI reporting.

Screenshots

Dry-run Account Dashboard

Dry-run account dashboard

V16 / PPI Decision Board

V16 PPI decision board


中文

Polymarket Insider Money Tracker 是一个面向 Polymarket 的内幕钱 / 异常资金流追踪系统。

它不是简单的钱包监控脚本,而是一套完整的事件驱动研究与执行框架:从市场与链上数据里发现异常资金流,经过 V16 信号质量过滤、市场证据分配、执行前校验、仓位生命周期管理,再把结果写入账本和 UI。

这个项目重点解决三个问题:

  • 谁在动? 识别事件前短窗口进场、单向集中押注、新钱包/低历史钱包、异常仓位、多地址协同、共享资金源或出金口等结构。
  • 值不值得跟? 通过 V16 score / tier / edge 判断信号是否有交易价值。
  • 交易后是否可解释? 每一笔交易都进入 intent、持仓、平仓、账户 truth 和 UI 闭环,方便复盘和审计。

模拟盘曾跑出 $10,000 → $28,063,总收益率 +180.63%,已实现 PnL +$18,063。这不是收益承诺,但足够说明系统在特定市场阶段具备捕捉高弹性资金流机会的能力。

English

Polymarket Insider Money Tracker is an automated research and execution system for suspicious Polymarket flow and insider-style positioning.

It is not just a wallet watcher. It is a full event-driven pipeline: ingest market and on-chain activity, score suspicious flow, filter it through V16 quality gates, allocate capital by market evidence, execute through an intent pipeline, manage position lifecycle state, and publish account/ledger truth to a dashboard.

The system is built around three practical questions:

  • Who is moving? Detect short-window pre-event entries, one-sided concentration, new or low-history wallets, unusually large sizing, multi-wallet coordination, and shared funding or exit patterns.
  • Is it worth following? Use V16 score / tier / edge logic to decide whether a signal is tradable.
  • Can it be audited later? Keep intent, position, close, account-truth, and dashboard state connected end to end.

One dry-run snapshot reached $28,063 from a $10,000 starting balance: +180.63% total return and +$18,063 realized PnL. This is not live-profit proof, but it demonstrates that the full trading workflow can operate as a complete system.

日本語

Polymarket Insider Money Tracker は、Polymarket 上の不自然な資金フローやインサイダー的なポジション形成を追跡するための自動化システムです。

単なるウォレット監視ツールではありません。市場データとオンチェーン取引を取り込み、疑わしいフローをスコアリングし、V16 の品質フィルターで選別し、マーケット証拠に基づいて資金配分を行い、意図キューを通じて実行し、ポジションのライフサイクルと口座 truth をダッシュボードに反映します。

このシステムは次の三つの問いを中心に設計されています。

  • 誰が動いているのか? イベント直前の短時間エントリー、一方向への集中、低履歴ウォレット、大きすぎるポジション、複数ウォレットの協調、資金源や出金先の共有を検出します。
  • 追随する価値があるのか? V16 の score / tier / edge ロジックで、取引可能なシグナルかどうかを判断します。
  • 後から検証できるのか? intent、ポジション、決済、口座 truth、ダッシュボードを一つの流れとして保持します。

dry-run のスナップショットでは、初期資金 $10,000 から $28,063 まで増加し、総収益率は +180.63%、実現 PnL は +$18,063 でした。ライブ取引の利益保証ではありませんが、シグナル検出から台帳・UI までの完全なループが機能することを示しています。


Architecture

Data ingestion
  -> insider signal scoring
  -> V16 decision layer
  -> market evidence allocation
  -> trade intent queue
  -> execution control plane
  -> position lifecycle
  -> account truth + dashboard

Key directories:

src/                 Core runtime, dashboard, executor, lifecycle, account truth
scheme_d/src/        Scanner, scorer, decision, allocator, intent execution
dashboard/           Web UI assets
ops/systemd/         Linux service and timer templates
scripts/             Runtime helpers
docs/                Architecture and workflow notes
env.example          Safe environment template without secrets

Use a generic deployment root:

<project-root>
# example: /srv/polymarket-insider-tracker

Quick Start

cd <project-root>
python -m venv .venv
source .venv/bin/activate
pip install -r requirements.txt
cp env.example .env

Run the dashboard locally:

POLYMARKET_DASHBOARD_HOST=127.0.0.1 POLYMARKET_DASHBOARD_PORT=8787 \
python src/dashboard_server.py --host 127.0.0.1 --port 8787

Run basic health checks:

python src/main.py --mode health-check
python -m compileall -q src scheme_d/src

Safety

This public repository intentionally excludes runtime ledgers, SQLite caches, API keys, wallet credentials, RPC keys, private IP addresses, and machine-specific configuration.

Live trading is risky. Dry-run performance can overstate real-world results because live execution has slippage, fill uncertainty, latency, market closure risk, and account synchronization edge cases. See SECURITY.md.

About

Polymarket insider-flow tracker / 内幕钱跟单研究系统 / インサイダーフロー追跡

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