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vignettes/Chapter03.Rmd

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@@ -26,8 +26,8 @@ par(mgp = c(1.6, .6, 0), mar = c(2.6, 2.6, 2.6, .4), lwd = 1)
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## Figure 3.1: Posteriors under the beta-binomial model
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To reproduce the posteriors in this figure, we simply need to plug in
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respective counts into the expression for the posterior density and visualize
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it accordingly.
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the respective counts into the expression for the posterior density
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and visualize it accordingly.
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```{r, echo=-(1:2)}
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if (pdfplots) {
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In city A, 40 out of 400 questioned people would purchase a certain product, in
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a rural community, only 4 out of 400. Assuming a uniform prior, we now compute
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equal-tails intervals and highest posterior density (HPD) intervals. Note that R
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is (generally) vectorized, so we can compute the equal-tails intervals without
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equal-tailed intervals and highest posterior density (HPD) intervals. Note that R
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is (generally) vectorized, so we can compute the equal-tailed intervals without
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using a loop.
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```{r}
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gamma <- .95
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alpha <- 1 - gamma
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# Equal-tails credible intervals
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# Equal-tailed credible intervals
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leftET <- qbeta(alpha/2, aN, bN)
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rightET <- qbeta(1 - alpha/2, aN, bN)
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@@ -182,7 +182,7 @@ res <- cbind(lengthET = rightET - leftET, lengthHPD = rightHPD - leftHPD)
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knitr::kable(round(res, 4))
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```
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## Figure 3.3: One-sided hypthesis testing
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## Figure 3.3: One-sided hypothesis testing
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We now move forward to assessing visualizing the posterior probability of
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$\vartheta$ (the proportion of defective items) being less than $1/20 = 0.05$
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(cf. <https://www.eapfoundation.com/vocab/general/bnccoca/>).
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```{r}
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library(BayesianLearningCode)
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data("words", package = "BayesianLearningCode")
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head(words)
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```
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Summing up what we have so far.
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```{r}
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dirichlet_sd = function(gamma) {
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dirichlet_sd <- function(gamma) {
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mean <- gamma / sum(gamma)
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sd <- sqrt((mean * (1 - mean)) / (sum(gamma) + 1))
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sd

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